Saturday, November 30, 2013

Black Friday Headlines

Bloomberg News A Black Friday scene in London Friday.

Despite a quiet morning for equities, the market still could hit new highs today before closing at 1 p.m.

Futures were up going into the open. A few items of note:

Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) stock is down 1.2% premarket. The Australian government is blocking its proposed $2.7 billion acquisition of Aussie grain processor Grain Corp (GNC.Australia). More in the Wall Street Journal here.

Among retailers, J.C. Penney (JCP) was up 2.7% and Macy's (M), up 1%, in premarket trading. For shoppers, The Atlantic suggests 11 economic lessons for smarter buying today. Chief among them:

“It’s called Black Friday because it’s the beginning of the season when many stores go from being in the red to being in the black.”

Among other retail stocks this morning, shares in the online world are moving at a faster clip than brick-and-mortar stores:  Ebay (EBAY) is up nearly 2% this morning just after the open, while Amazon.com (AMZN) is up about 1.2%. Higher-end retailers Coach (COH), Tiffany (TIF) and Nordstrom (JWN) are up less than a point. Shares of Wal-Mart Stores (WMT), T.J. Maxx/Marshalls parent TJX Companies (TJX), and Target (TGT) were each up about half a point.

Friday, November 29, 2013

Fed still expected to hold off tapering until March even as jobs surge

Bloomberg News

Economists still forecast the Federal Reserve will delay tapering asset purchases until March even after a report Friday showed employers added more jobs than forecast in October.

Policy makers will pare the monthly pace of bond buying to $70 billion at their March 18-19 meeting from the current pace of $85 billion, according to the median of 32 economist estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. The median forecast in an Oct. 17-18 survey of 40 economists also called for a reduction to $70 billion in March.

The Federal Open Market Committee voted Oct. 30 to keep the pace unchanged, saying it needs more evidence of improvement in the economy. The jobs report probably isn't enough to convince policy makers that it's time to start tapering the quantitative easing program, said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Pierpont Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut.

The strength of the payroll report “at least brings December back on the table, but in the end they're not going to have enough evidence to pull the trigger,” said Stanley, a former Richmond Fed researcher. “Part of the reason they keep putting off any pullback in accommodation is that they're continually disappointed in the outlook.”

Employers added 204,000 workers in October, according to the Labor Department report, compared with a median estimate of a 120,000 gain in a Bloomberg survey of economists. Revisions increased the job gains for the prior two months by a total of 60,000. The jobless rate rose to 7.3% from almost a five-year low of 7.2%.

MARCH PREDICTION

The report “makes us more comfortable with our March call,” said Laura Rosner, a U.S. economist at BNP Paribas SA in New York and a former researcher at the New York Fed. “This is the progress we need to be seeing in order to be confident by March of next year. We'll need to see a couple more reports to make sure the strengthening in the labor market sticks.”

Fourteen of 32 economists surveyed yesterday said they expect the first reduction of bond purchases in March, while nine projected

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Top 5 Canadian Companies To Buy Right Now

Encana (NYSE: ECA  ) , Canada's largest natural gas producer, yesterday announced its eagerly anticipated new strategy to help it become a leaner, more focused energy company.

As outlined in a news release, Encana's new strategy entails focusing capital on five oil- and liquids-rich North American resource plays; reducing its cost structure; diversifying its commodity mix away from natural gas; and unlocking more value from its portfolio through asset sales and a spinoff of its Canadian Clearwater assets into a new public company.

But will that be enough to compensate for Encana's heavy concentration in natural gas? Let's take a closer look.

Encana's new strategy
Encana is clearly serious about trimming its capital budget. Earlier this year, it said it planned�to achieve cost savings and efficiency gains of $100 million-$150 million over an 18-month period. By the end of this year, the company reckons it should be able to achieve about $110 million of that target.

Top 5 Canadian Companies To Buy Right Now: S&P 500/Barra Value(SU)

Suncor Energy Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated energy company. The company involves in the development of petroleum resource basins in Canada's Athabasca oil sands; acquisition, exploration, development, production, and marketing of crude oil and natural gas in Canada and internationally; transportation and refining of crude oil; and marketing of petroleum and petrochemical products primarily in Canada. Its Oil Sands segment produces bitumen recovered from oil sands through mining and in-situ technology, and upgrades it into refinery feedstock, diesel fuel, and by-products. This segment?s products include gasoline and distillates. The company?s Natural Gas segment acquires, explores, develops, and produces natural gas, natural gas liquids, oil, and by-products from reserves located primarily in western Canada, the Northwest Territories, Alaska, and the Arctic Islands. Its International and Offshore segment engages in the exploration and pro duction of oil and gas in offshore Newfoundland and Labrador, in the North Sea, and in Libya and Syria. The company?s Refining and Marketing segment refines crude oil at Suncor's refineries in Edmonton, Alberta; Montreal, Quebec; and Sarnia, Ontario in Canada, as well as in Commerce City, Colorado into a range of petroleum and petrochemical products for sale to retail, commercial, and industrial customers. It also transports crude oil through pipelines in eastern and western Canada, as well as through wholly-owned pipelines in Wyoming and Colorado; and produces specialty lubricants and waxes. In addition, this segment operates retail sites in Canada under the Petro-Canada brand; and in Colorado under Phillips 66 and Shell brands. Suncor Energy Inc. also engages in third-party energy trading activities. The company was formerly known as Suncor Inc. and changed its name to Suncor Energy Inc. in April 1997. Suncor Energy Inc. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Calgary , Canada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Brian Stoffel]

    Looking to make an addition to his portfolio from the energy sector, Nathan considered Vermillion, Canadian oil-sands specialist Suncor Energy (NYSE: SU  ) , and global oil and natural gas giant ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP  ) . Though Nathan believes all three are exceptional values right now, Vermillion was the pick for his real-money portfolio.

Top 5 Canadian Companies To Buy Right Now: Encana Corporation(ECA)

Encana Corporation and its subsidiaries engage in the exploration for, development, production, and marketing of natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids. The company owns interests in resource plays that primarily include the Greater Sierra, Cutbank Ridge, Bighorn, and Coalbed Methane resource plays located in British Columbia and Alberta, as well as the Deep Panuke natural gas project offshore Nova Scotia in Canada. It also holds interests in resource plays comprising the Jonah in southwest Wyoming, Piceance in northwest Colorado, Haynesville in Louisiana, and Texas resource play, including east Texas and north Texas. The company serves primarily local distribution companies, industrials, energy marketing companies, and other producers. Encana Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Dan Caplinger]

    1 (tie). Louisiana, March 29
    Louisiana climbs to the top spot by keeping property taxes below $750 and collecting just a 4% sales tax, although local options add nearly 5 percentage points to that figure and make the state one of the highest-collecting sales-tax states. Although extensive activity from energy producers Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK  ) , Encana (NYSE: ECA  ) , and Plains Exploration (NYSE: PXP  ) in the Haynesville-Bossier shale play could boost incomes and lead to higher taxes, much of Louisiana's sales tax revenue comes from out-of-state tourists visiting the state, leaving the actual amount borne by residents even lower. A 6% income tax isn't enough to push Louisiana out of the top spot.

  • [By David Smith]

    Other fracking goings-on
    While water is likely to remain a key consideration for hydraulic fracturing for years to come, there are several other items of importance currently swirling about with regard to unconventional drilling, which has been responsible for a 30% increase in U.S. oil reserves and a 90% incrasee in our gas reserves:

    The Environmental Protection Agency continues to move forward with its nationwide study of the potential effects of hydraulic fracturing on groundwater and drinking water. A resulting report is expected to be released in 2014. In the meantime, 31 experts from universities, scientific laboratories, and industry have been appointed to review what promises to be a landmark document. The EPA also has abandoned its interminable and controversial research into whether fracking by Encana (NYSE: ECA  ) fouled the water table in Pavillion, Wyo. The effort was a follow-up to a 2011 study by the agency, which purported to find a connection between Encana's operations and the contamination of an aquifer, has been turned over to Wyoming officials. They plan to release a final report next year. The Obama administration has set forth a proposed rule requiring oil and natural gas companies that drill on federal land to disclose the chemicals used in their hydraulic operations. It also would establish standards for well construction and waste disposal.

    A Foolish takeaway
    Hydraulic fracturing, it seems, will always be a target for environmental grousing and federal nitpicking. It seems unlikely, however, that it will ever be severely curtailed. On that basis, I'm increasingly becoming a proponent of Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK  ) , especially under its new management.

  • [By Jeremy van Loon]

    Encana Corp. (ECA), the natural gas producer selling assets after losing half its value since 2010, is being urged by investors to cut its dividend and focus on profitable projects in the U.S. and Canada.

Top Penny Companies To Buy For 2014: DCP Midstream Partners LP (DPM)

DCP Midstream Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, engages in gathering, compressing, treating, processing, transporting, storing, and selling natural gas in the United States. It also transports, stores, and sells propane in wholesale markets; and produces, fractionates, transports, stores, and sells natural gas liquids (NGLs) and condensate. The company operates in three segments: Natural Gas Services, Wholesale Propane Logistics, and NGL Logistics. The Natural Gas Services segment operates Northern Louisiana system that gathers, process, and transports natural gas; Southern Oklahoma system; Colorado system; Wyoming system that covers 1,300 miles of natural gas gathering pipelines that cover approximately 4,000 square miles in the Powder River Basin in Wyoming; and Michigan system. It also operates Discovery system, East Texas system, and Southeast Texas system. The Wholesale Propane Logistics segment owns and operates a propane marine import terminal; a leased propane marine terminal; a propane pipeline terminal; and six propane rail terminals, as well as access to several open access pipeline terminals. This segment sells its propane to retail propane distributors. The NGL Logistics segment operates Seabreeze and Wilbreeze NGL transportation pipelines, the Wattenberg NGL transportation pipeline, the Black Lake interstate NGL pipeline, and the NGL storage facility in Marysville, Michigan. DCP Midstream Partners, LP was founded in 2005 and is based in Denver, Colorado.

Top 5 Canadian Companies To Buy Right Now: Swisher Hygiene Inc.(SWSH)

Swisher Hygiene Inc. provides hygiene and sanitation solutions in North America and internationally. Its solutions include cleaning and sanitizing products and services designed to promote cleanliness and sanitation in commercial and residential environments. The company involves in the sale of consumable products, such as soaps, paper, cleaning chemicals, detergents, and supplies, together with the rental and servicing of dish machines and other equipment for the dispensing of those products; sale and rental of facility service items requiring regular maintenance and cleaning, such as floor mats, mops, and bar towels; provision of manual cleaning services for facilities; and provision of solid waste collection services. It serves customers in a range of end-markets, including foodservice, hospitality, retail, industrial, and healthcare industries. Swisher Hygiene Inc. offers its services through 69 company owned operations and 10 franchise operations located throughout th e United States and Canada; and through 10 master license agreements covering the United Kingdom, Ireland, Portugal, the Netherlands, Singapore, the Philippines, Taiwan, Korea, Hong Kong, Macau, China, and Mexico. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Lisa Levin]

    Swisher Hygiene (NASDAQ: SWSH) shares touched a new 52-week low of $0.55. Swisher shares have dropped 51.30% over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 index has gained 31.68% in the same period.

  • [By Lisa Levin]

    Swisher Hygiene (NASDAQ: SWSH) shares touched a new 52-week low of $0.732. Swisher Hygiene appointed William Pierce as its new president and CEO.

    Territorial Bancorp (NASDAQ: TBNK) shares touched a new 52-week low of $21.31. Territorial Bancorp shares have dropped 9.43% over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 index has gained 16.18% in the same period.

Top 5 Canadian Companies To Buy Right Now: Imperial Oil Limited(IMO)

Imperial Oil Limited engages in the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas in Canada. The company operates through three segments: Upstream, Downstream, and Chemical. The Upstream segment engages in the exploration and production of conventional crude oil, natural gas, synthetic oil, and bitumen primarily in the Western Provinces, the Canada Lands, and the Atlantic Offshore. Its primary conventional oil producing asset includes the Norman Wells oil field in the Northwest Territories. The Downstream segment engages in the transportation and refining of crude oil, as well as blending, distribution, and marketing of refined products. It owns and operates crude oil, and natural gas liquids and products pipelines in Alberta, Manitoba, and Ontario. The Chemical segment engages in the manufacture and marketing of various petrochemicals, including ethylene, benzene, aromatic and aliphatic solvents, plasticizer intermediates, and polyethylene resin. As of De cember 31, 2010, Imperial Oil Limited had 1,204 million oil-equivalent barrels of proved undeveloped reserves; maintained a nation-wide distribution system, including 24 primary terminals, to handle bulk and packaged petroleum products moving from refineries to market by pipeline, tanker, rail, and road transport; and sold petroleum products through 1,850 Esso retail service stations, of which approximately 510 were company owned or leased. The company was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. Imperial Oil Limited operates as a subsidiary of Exxon Mobil Corporation.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Stephan Dube]

    Cold Lake's most notable producers:

    Husky Energy (HUSK.PK), see article here.Pengrowth Energy Corporation (PGH), see article here.Southern Pacific Resource (STPJF.PK), see article here.Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ), see article here.Devon Energy (DVN), see article here.Imperial Oil (IMO), see article here.Baytex, see article here.Bonavista Energy (BNPUF.PK), see article here.

    Athabasca's most notable producers:

  • [By Caiman Valores]

    But as highlighted earlier Whitecap's Canadian light sweet crude is not as heavily discounted as Canadian heavy oil or bitumen. This does not leave it exposed to the same price risks and volatility as those companies that have a significant portion of their production made up by Canadian heavy oil and Bitumen, such as Husky Energy (HUSKF.PK), Suncor (SU), Imperial Oil (IMO) and Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ).

Monday, November 25, 2013

Where Will Pandora Go Post-Earnings?

With shares of Pandora (NYSE:P) trading around $29, is P an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE, or STAY AWAY? Let's analyze the stock with the relevant sections of our CHEAT SHEET investing framework:

T = Trends for a Stock’s Movement

Pandora is an Internet radio company that operates in the United States with over 125 million registered users. Pandora's Music Genome Project and its playlist-generating algorithms predict listener music preferences, play music content suited to the tastes of each individual listener, and introduce listeners to music they will love. The main sources of revenue for the company are advertising as well as subscriptions. As the Internet music boom continues, Pandora is well-positioned to capitalize on potential subscriptions and advertising marketing share.

Pandora reported third-quarter earnings after the closing bell on Thursday that came in line with analyst estimates. Pandora reported a loss of 1 cent per share on sales of $180.4 million compared to last year's gain of 1 cent per share on sales of $120 million. Earnings came in at 6 cents per share; analysts had expected the company to earn 6 cents per share and report sales of $177 million, according to MarketWatch. Pandora is being closely watched as Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) released a competing online radio service, iTunes Radio, this fall.

T = Technicals on the Stock Chart Are Strong

Pandora stock has been surging higher over the last several quarters. The stock is currently trading near highs for the year and looks poised to continue. Analyzing the price trend and its strength can be done using key simple moving averages. What are the key moving averages? The 50-day (pink), 100-day (blue), and 200-day (yellow) simple moving averages. As seen in the daily price chart below, Pandora is trading above its rising key averages, which signal neutral to bullish price action in the near-term.

P

(Source: Thinkorswim)

Taking a look at the implied volatility (red) and implied volatility skew levels of Pandora options may help determine if investors are bullish, neutral, or bearish.

Implied Volatility (IV)

30-Day IV Percentile

90-Day IV Percentile

Pandora Options

52.05%

0%

0%

What does this mean? This means that investors or traders are buying a very small amount of call and put options contracts as compared to the last 30 and 90 trading days.

Put IV Skew

Call IV Skew

December Options

Flat

Average

January Options

Flat

Average

As of today, there is an average demand from call buyers or sellers and low demand by put buyers or high demand by put sellers, all neutral to bullish over the next two months. To summarize, investors are buying a very small amount of call and put option contracts and are leaning neutral to bullish over the next two months.

On the next page, let’s take a look at the earnings and revenue growth rates and the conclusion.

E = Earnings Are Increasing Quarter-Over-Quarter

Rising stock prices are often strongly correlated with rising earnings and revenue growth rates. Also, the last four quarterly earnings announcement reactions help gauge investor sentiment on Pandora’s stock. What do the last four quarterly earnings and revenue growth (Y-O-Y) figures for Pandora look like and more importantly, how did the markets like these numbers?

2013 Q3

2013 Q2

2013 Q1

2012 Q4

Earnings Growth (Y-O-Y)

20.00%

1200.00%

-11.11%

-69.72%

Revenue Growth (Y-O-Y)

50.28%

51.18%

59.07%

53.81%

Earnings Reaction

-1.52%*

-12.89%

-4.25%

17.56%

Pandora has seen mixed earnings and increasing revenue figures over the last four quarters. From these numbers, the markets have been pleased with Pandora’s recent earnings announcements.

* As of this writing

P = Excellent Relative Performance Versus Peers and Sector

How has Pandora stock done relative to its peers, Sirius XM Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI), CBS (NYSE:CBS), Cumulus Media (NASDAQ:CMLS), and sector?

Pandora

Sirius XM Radio

CBS

Cumulus Media

Sector

Year-to-Date Return

213.10%

27.16%

54.22%

150.90%

112.34%

Pandora has been a relative performance leader, year-to-date.

Conclusion

Pandora is an Internet radio company that attempts to match listeners with their preferences in order to discover music they love. The company reported third-quarter earnings after the closing bell on Thursday that came in line with analyst estimates. The stock has been rising higher in recent quarters and is now trading near highs for the year. Over the last four quarters, earnings have been mixed while revenues have been rising, however, investors have expected more from the company. Relative to its peers and sector, Pandora has been a year-to-date performance leader. Look for Pandora to continue to OUTPERFORM.

Sunday, November 24, 2013

Interest rates are poised for a move higher

May marked an important month for U.S. markets this year. When investors learned of the Federal Reserve's intention to taper their bond buying, Treasury yields exploded higher. This caused many market participants and analysts to panic over what kind of effect this might have on the housing market and overall economy. Concern escalated until it reached a fever pitch in September, when the 10-year yield spiked briefly over 3%, and news outlets everywhere flooded the public with predictions of how much higher interest rates were about to go.

The milestone was short-lived, however, when the 10-year yield fell back below the 3% threshold the very same day, and has been slowly declining ever since. With rates reaching 2.5% just last week, and the Federal Reserve assuring investors that tapering of QE will not happen until next year, talk of higher interests rates has almost disappeared from investment circles. This complacency could be rattled again soon, though, if bonds are unable to rally past important resistance ahead.

Elliott Wave Theory and other traditional technical-analysis methods reveal a key region approaching in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) , which tracks 20-plus-year Treasury bonds. This area of resistance could prove to be a significant decision point for long-term bond prices and interest rates. If TLT is unable to break above 113, then new lows into next year can be expected, which also means higher interest rates. It could also mean an end to a decades-long rally in bonds.

Confirming this possibility would require more than a new low in TLT, but it would be a move in the right direction. Identifying a turning point in a trend that has been ongoing since 1981 requires time, but the necessary path has been laid out. Seeing TLT stay below 113 on this current rally and make a new low afterward is the next step in this process.

In Elliott Wave analysis, the resistance region approaching is represented as wave iv of 3. This is illustrated in blue labels on the TLT chart linked to below. In order to confirm a change in trend, a full five waves need to complete off the high made in July of last year. The path of this process requires another corrective rally after the next low in TLT, followed by on final drop to finish the pattern.

Most important, however, is what happens in the next one to two months. TLT must turn back down between 109 and 113, and target roughly 99 afterward. If price breaks above 113, then the probability for a continuation of the rally in bonds increases dramatically. This possibility is illustrated by red labels on the TLT chart linked below, and could mean new all-time highs in the future.

I will be watching bonds and yields very closely this month, to see how the price pattern unfolds. Since the path that determines an important period for bonds has already been laid out, all that is needed is for price to follow it. The bond market is sensing what is coming down the road, and it is starting to show on the charts. If the entire five-wave pattern completes in the next year, then it will confirm a change in trend, and signal higher interest rates ahead for many years. This will have an important effect on all markets, and thus the investment community as a whole.

See chart illustrating the wave count on the TLT.

Saturday, November 23, 2013

Fed will ‘stress test’ more banks in 2014

The Federal Reserve will expand its "stress-testing" program to 30 banks next year, up from 18 in 2012, as part of regulators' long-running campaign to make banks boost capital and improve risk management to avoid another financial crisis.

The rules were unveiled by the central bank Friday. Under the new standards, all banks with more than $50 billion in assets will be examined to make sure they have enough capital to keep operating even if the economy goes through another severe downturn, Fed officials said on a conference call before the release,

The changes are part of a broader push by regulators worldwide to tighten bank regulation in the wake of the 2008 collapse of the mortgage market, which caused the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the forced rescues of institutions ranging from Merrill Lynch and Bear Stearns to American International Group. Banks are being required to hold on to a higher percentage of their assets as capital, which protects them from losses on loans and securities, as well as beef up procedures for identifying and managing risk, Fed officials said,

"The capital planning and stress testing program has been an integral component of the Federal Reserve's broader supervisory and regulatory efforts to make the financial system stronger and safer since the financial crisis," Fed Gov. Daniel Tarullo said in a statement.

The central bank can effectively prevent banks whose capital plans it finds lacking from buying back stock or increasing their dividends. Over the past two years, banks including Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs have all been asked to build up more capital before returning money to shareholders or to provide better documentation that their capital planning processes are in good shape.

The Fed also said it will disclose more information about the stress test processes than it has before.

In the past, regulators made public calculations of what would happen to each bank in a "severely adverse" economic scenario where the une! mployment rate reached 11.25% and gross domestic product dropped by 4.75% in a year. In the next review, regulators will also disclose how each bank would hold up in a milder recession, where unemployment reached 9.25% but long-term interest rates still rise.

Top trading banks will also be forced to analyze and disclose how they would fare if their largest trading partners failed, the Fed said,

All 30 banks subject to the capital review have to submit their plans to build and protect capital by Jan. 6.


Thursday, November 21, 2013

Imperial Capital Raises United Continental Target, Prefers US Airways, Delta, Alaska Airlines

When United Continental (UAL) pledged to cut costs on its investors day, it got a big boost that helped it outpace competitors like Delta Air Lines (DAL), US Airways (LCC) and Alaska Airlines (ALK). Can the good times continue?

Associated Press

Not necessarily, says Imperial Capital’s Bob McAdoo and Scott Buck. While they raised United Continental’s target price to $42 from $36, they have reservations:

Management had previously acknowledged the airline's underperformance to peers and used its investor day on 11/19/13, which was held in New York, to outline a new cost reduction plan. The plan relies on a combination of improved fuel efficiency, productivity improvements, streamlined maintenance, and modest changes to the current international route structure. Meeting these objectives would move financial results towards peer levels. However, given the plan's high level of economic sensitivity and extended timetable, progress towards meeting these objectives may be hard to track. While we expect UAL shares to continue to benefit from sector demand, and will likely outperform the market, we would prefer to own shares of legacy peers Alaska Airlines, Delta, and US Airways.

Shares of United Continental have dropped 0.4% to $37.14, while Delta has gained 0.9% to $27.97, US Airways has fallen 0.5% to $23.93 and Alaska Airlines has risen 0.6% to $76.03.

Is US Airways Poised To See Rising Prices?

With shares of US Airways (NYSE:LCC) trading around $24, is LCC an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE, or STAY AWAY? Let's analyze the stock with the relevant sections of our CHEAT SHEET investing framework:

T = Trends for a Stock’s Movement

US Airways operates and owns passenger and freight airline carriers. Consumers and companies across the nation are now looking to travel at an increasing rate, and since air travel is quicker and less expensive, it is becoming a common transportation method for many. As costs decrease and flights become more efficient, look for business and retail customers to fly more than ever.

Beginning next summer, US Airways customers will have new non-stop daily service at their disposal from the airline's international gateway at Philadelphia International Airport to Edinburgh. US Airways will operate flights to and from Edinburgh Airport on 176-seat dual-class Boeing 757 aircraft between May 23 and October 1. The new service will complement US Airways' current flights between Philadelphia and several European destinations, including locations spanning the United Kingdom and British Isles like Glasgow, Dublin, Shannon, Manchester, and London Heathrow.

T = Technicals on the Stock Chart Are Strong

US Airways stock has been surging higher in the past several years. The stock is currently trading near highs for the year and looks ready to continue. Analyzing the price trend and its strength can be done using key simple moving averages. What are the key moving averages? The 50-day (pink), 100-day (blue), and 200-day (yellow) simple moving averages. As seen in the daily price chart below, US Airways is trading above its rising key averages, which signal neutral to bullish price action in the near-term.

LCC

(Source: Thinkorswim)

Taking a look at the implied volatility (red) and implied volatility skew levels of US Airways options may help determine if investors are bullish, neutral, or bearish.

Implied Volatility (IV)

30-Day IV Percentile

90-Day IV Percentile

US Airways Options

47.27%

43%

41%

What does this mean? This means that investors or traders are buying a significant amount of call and put options contracts as compared to the last 30 and 90 trading days.

Put IV Skew

Call IV Skew

December Options

Flat

Average

January Options

Flat

Average

As of today, there is an average demand from call buyers or sellers and low demand by put buyers or high demand by put sellers, all neutral to bullish over the next two months. To summarize, investors are buying a significant amount of call and put option contracts and are leaning neutral to bullish over the next two months.

On the next page, let’s take a look at the earnings and revenue growth rates and the conclusion.

E = Earnings Are Mixed Quarter-Over-Quarter

Rising stock prices are often strongly correlated with rising earnings and revenue growth rates. Also, the last four quarterly earnings announcement reactions help gauge investor sentiment on US Airways’s stock. What do the last four quarterly earnings and revenue growth (Y-O-Y) figures for US Airways look like and more importantly, how did the markets like these numbers?

2013 Q3

2013 Q2

2013 Q1

2012 Q4

Earnings Growth (Y-O-Y)

-16.13%

-9.09%

-7.14%

63.41%

Revenue Growth (Y-O-Y)

9.11%

2.96%

3.45%

3.90%

Earnings Reaction

-2.50%

2.49%

5.02%

1.48%

US Airways has seen decreasing earnings and increasing revenue figures over the last four quarters. From these numbers, the markets have been upbeat about US Airways’s recent earnings announcements.

P = Excellent Relative Performance Versus Peers and Sector

How has US Airways stock done relative to its peers, Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV), Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), United Continental (NYSE:UAL), and sector?

US Airways

Southwest Airlines

Delta Air Lines

United Continental

Sector

Year-to-Date Return

78.81%

77.64%

134.90%

61.80%

73.75%

US Airways has been a relative performance leader, year-to-date.

Conclusion

US Airways is an airline that operates passenger and freight planes. Beginning next summer, US Airways customers will have new non-stop daily service at their disposal from the airline's international gateway at Philadelphia International Airport to Edinburgh. The stock has exploded higher in 2013 and is currently trading near its yearly highs. Over the last four quarters, earnings have been decreasing while revenues have been rising, which has produced optimistic investors. Relative to its peers and sector, US Airways has been a year-to-date performance leader. Look for US Airways to OUTPERFORM.

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Strategies: Keep accident from wrecking your li…

The show must go on in your small business.

I wish I could say I had been skydiving, snowboarding or surfing, but I simply tripped in a parking lot when I wasn't looking. Suddenly, I had a broken wrist — the right wrist, the one I write with, the one I run my small business with.

COLUMN: Before trip, think mini succession plan
COLUMN: Firm should last beyond your retirement

This kind of accident could happen to anyone, at any time, including a small-business owner or entrepreneur. Though I'll be out for a while, I still have deadlines: this weekly column, new books, newsletters, client projects.

But broken bones or not, the show — and my business — must go on.

In a small business, every person counts. Each person wears multiple hats and is essential to a company's daily operations.

But something can happen to anyone, and it has the potential to turn things upside down: an accident, an illness, a family crisis that takes a person away from the office.

So how do you ensure that your small business continues to operate when a key employee — or the boss — is suddenly out of commission? As with many aspects of running a business, you need to plan.

Rhonda Abrams after surgery Sept. 26, 2013, to repair a fractured wrist.(Photo: Courtesy of Rhonda Abrams)

• Cross train. We recently began to do this in my small company.

We realized at least two people should know how to do each job. If the person who usually takes and fulfills book orders doesn't appear one morning, another employee can tackle that task.

• Develop an operations manual. This doesn't have to be as intimidating as the term implies.

Ask each employee to type up in detail the steps for eac! h task, print the information, and place it in a binder. Have the person take screen shots and print these, too.

Why keep this information in a binder and not on the company server? It's easier for a last-minute replacement to find.

• Move to the cloud. Fortunately, we moved our data and most business applications to the cloud in 2012, so I can access that critical information from anywhere, even the hospital or my home while I'm recuperating.

I can use any device with online access such as my iPad, which is easier to use than my laptop with the cast I'm going to have to wear for six weeks.

• Adopt new technologies. Since I can't type, I'm learning to use voice-recognition software, and I've become much better friends with Siri for sending e-mails and dialing phone numbers.

• Protect passwords. If your top-selling salesperson suddenly can't come in, do you know how to log in to your company customer management relationship application so you can contact customers?

It's critical that you have access to the passwords for any applications your employees use. For all of your technology, online accounts, banking, and so on, keep an up-to-date list of passwords in a lawyer's or trusted family member's safe.

• Make it accessible. Someone extremely trustworthy should have a copy of the key to your building, office or safe. The office manager likely would keep this, or a spouse or lawyer may have a copy of these keys.

• Hire great people. The great staff I work with make things a lot easier.

My assistant can take over much of my routine e-mail and run errands. And I'll be working a lot more with a writer/editor I've collaborated with for years.

Sole proprietors face particular challenges because they don't have any staff to turn to.

If you run a business alone, develop a relationship with one or two other sole proprietors in your industry who can assist you professionally in a pinch — whether because of illness or just a big project th! at's more! than you can handle. You also can turn to services such as Elance or oDesk to find freelancers to help you finish a project, or TaskRabbit for any kind of short-term assistance, even running an errand.

COLUMN: Entrepreneurs, prepare now for the next emergency

If you do find yourself suddenly out of commission, to keep your company running smoothly you may need more help in your personal life.

If you have kids, get more help with child care. Order dinner in. Hire a housecleaner. Pay the kid next door to walk the dog.

Save your energy for your business.

Rhonda Abrams is president of The Planning Shop and publisher of books for entrepreneurs. Her most recent book is Entrepreneurship: A Real-World Approach. Register for Rhonda's free newsletter at PlanningShop.com. Twitter: @RhondaAbrams. Facebook: facebook.com/RhondaAbramsSmallBusiness.Copyright Rhonda Abrams 2013.

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

JPMorgan agrees to $13 billion mortgage settlement

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Click the image for the full chart.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) JPMorgan has agreed to a $13 billion settlement over mortgage-backed securities sold ahead of the financial crisis, officials announced Tuesday.

The Justice Department called the agreement "the largest settlement with a single entity in American history."

At issue are allegations that JPMorgan and firms it later purchased, Bear Stearns and Washington Mutual, sold risky mortgage securities during the housing bubble while misrepresenting their quality. These securities later failed in huge numbers, playing a key role in the 2008 crisis.

"Without a doubt, the conduct uncovered in this investigation helped sow the seeds of the mortgage meltdown," Attorney General Eric Holder said in a statement.

As part of the agreement, JPMorgan admitted to making "serious misrepresentations" to investors in mortgage-backed securities, the Justice Department said.

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said in a statement the firm was "pleased to have concluded this extensive agreement." The company said it would continue to cooperate with authorities.

The $13 billion figure includes a $4 billion settlement announced last month by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which has overseen government-backed housing finance firms Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac since their 2008 bailout. JPMorgan agreed to pay $4 billion to resolve securities fraud claims and another $1.1 billion to repurchase mortgages sold to Fannie and Freddie.

Tuesday's agreement, expected for weeks, drew Dimon to Washington in September for negotiations with Holder. Attorneys general from California and New York have also been involved in the talks.

Some $4 billion of the settlement has been earmarked to help consumers. This total includes $2 billion to be used for principal reductions for borrowers, and $2 billion worth of other assistance, New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman said.

This assistance includes loan refinancing, donation of bank-owned properties, and new mortgage loans to low- and moderate-income families harmed by the crisis.

An independent monitor has been appointed to ensure compliance by the bank, which has agreed to complete the consumer-focused efforts by the end of 2017.

Another $2 billion from the ! settlement will be paid to the Justice Department. The National Credit Union Association will receive $1.4 billion, while the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation will get $515 million.

Among the states who brought claims against the bank, California will receive $299 million; Delaware will get $20 million; Illinois gets $100 million; Massachusetts receives $34 million; and New York will receive $614 million.

Fannie and Freddie purchased billions of dollars' worth of mortgage-backed securities ahead of the crisis and required a government rescue in 2008 when those investments soured.

The settlement does not address the question of whether any individual bankers engaged in criminal wrongdoing. There is an ongoing federal probe on this issue in California with which JPMorgan has agreed to cooperate.

Other banks will likely be on the hook for similar settlements. Holder said Tuesday that JPMorgan "was not the only financial institution during this period to knowingly bundle toxic loans and sell them to unsuspecting investors."

JPMorgan (JPM, Fortune 500) was just one of 18 financial institutions FHFA sued in 2011, accusing them of selling Fannie and Freddie securities that "had different and more risky characteristics than the descriptions contained in the marketing and sales materials."

The Justice Department, meanwhile, is reportedly looking to use the expected settlement with JPMorgan as a template for deals with other financial institutions suspected of engaging in similar tactics during the housing bubble.

The case is the latest in a series of legal headaches for JPMorgan, the country's largest bank by assets.

Last week, JPMorgan announced a $4.5 billion settlement with institutional investors who suffered losses on bubble-era mortgage securities. The firm has paid over $1 billion in fines in connection with last year's "London Whale" trading debacle, and $80 million more over alleged unfair credit card billin! g practic! es.

In July, the bank agreed to pay $410 million to settle charges that it manipulated electricity prices in California and the Midwest. It is also facing scrutiny over its hiring practices in China and its alleged involvement in the Libor rate-fixing scandal.

JPMorgan posted a loss for the third quarter based on its massive legal expenses. Dimon called the loss "painful" and warned that litigation costs could continue to be a drag on earnings for several quarters.

The bank said at the time that it was holding $23 billion in reserve for potential litigation expenses, but that its legal costs could be nearly $6 billion more than that in a worst-case scenario.

While JPMorgan is shelling out a staggering amount of money, the bank is large enough to absorb the costs. It booked $21.3 billion in net income for 2012, and has assets of $2.5 trillion. To top of page

Monday, November 18, 2013

GT Advanced Technologies Inc (GTAT): 2015 Sales View Could Be Conservative Given Solid Growth Potential

GT Advanced Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: GTAT) could be a key beneficiary from the current trend where use of sapphire by the major Tier-1 mobile consumer electronics companies is viewed as a key part of their differentiation strategy. GT is the largest sapphire equipment supplier and likely beneficiary of this inflection point in mobile devices.

Based in Merrimack, New Hampshire, GT is a global provider of polysilicon production technology and sapphire and silicon crystalline growth systems and materials for the solar, LED and other specialty markets.

The company was in the news recently for signing a multi-year deal with Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) to supply sapphire material starting in 2014. This could be the beginning of nice things to come.

GT is targeting 2015 sales of over $1 billion and 2016 sales over $1.5 billion which should be conservative if GT can convince more customers to adopt sapphire.

[Related -Ride Apple's Success With This 'Secret' Stock]

The mobile sapphire equipment opportunity is significant and developing faster than expected, and checks have found significant mobile sapphire demand growth in China.

"We believe the mobile sapphire equipment is a $5bn market opportunity for GT which can drive $4bn a year sapphire material sales for GT's customers for 400 million smartphone cover screens. We now estimate the sapphire equipment product upgrade story for mobile device covers (replacing glass based covers) develops sooner than expected," UBS analyst Stephen Chin said in a client note.

[Related -GT Advanced Technologies Inc (GTAT): A Gem That's About To Shine?]

Sapphire's higher scratch resistance qualities could lengthen the average lifetime of mobile devices, which could slow the replacement demand, which in turn this could slow the build out of sapphire capacity needed to meet the future demand for such devices.

"We don't believe this replacement remand related concern matters in the beginning of the ramp as we noted earlier – the overall market opportunity set to serve the existing market is big," Chin said.

There is higher sapphire content in recent mobile devices. The recently launched Samsung Galaxy Gear (smart watch) has a sapphire glass cover while the home button in Apple's new iPhone 5S, which also covers the finger-print sensor, is made of laser-cut sapphire crystal.

Checks on sapphire demand in China shows that mobile sapphire demand has grown from 5K two-inch equivalent (TIE) to 200K TIE in the past 6 months.

"We conservatively estimate mobile sapphire equipment sales of $300M in 2014 generating $0.32 in EPS," Chin noted.

Moreover, the recent Apple deal limits the need to raise capital for the company and gives solidity to the balance sheet. Apple will prepay GT a total of $578 million and GT expects to exit 2013 with net cash of $210 million.

GT reports in its 10-Q that it will receive Apple's prepayment! in four installments as long as it hits certain milestones. Apple prepayment will be used for sapphire furnaces & related equipment

"This 10-Q disclosure from GT gives us confidence in our estimate that there will be about 1,500 sapphire furnaces at this Mesa fab. We estimate GT's sapphire furnace build for the Mesa fab is 50-100 in 4Q13, 300-400 in 1Q14 and 800-900 in 2Q14," Chin said.

This large amount of furnaces also means this factory is not going to be just making sapphire for the home button on some of Apple's products. However, GT may not sell sapphire furnaces to certain markets is slightly concerning.

That said, GT can still sell sapphire furnaces to customers who are not competing with Apple and may include markets such as LED light bulbs and the military for aircraft windows.

Meanwhile, new opportunities in silicon carbide (SiC) and gallium nitride (GaN) applications could provide upside in 2014. GT's new product opportunities in SiC and GaN are in the late stage of development with early revenue opportunity in the second half of 2014.

"Our industry checks find that this could provide a significant sales upside if GT's equipment can produce these substrates economically. We model a base case of $75M in sales for these new opportunities," Chin noted.  

Sunday, November 17, 2013

Top Insider Trades: CCXI, GBDC, MVC, FUND

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By Jonathan Moreland, founder of Insider Insights and author of Profit From Legal Insider Trading.

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- It is a victory for common sense. Tracking the trading behavior of company executives, directors and large shareholders in the stocks of firms they're registered in as "insiders" has proven to be profitable, according to both academic studies and (more importantly) the experience of professional investors.

Below are lists of the top 10 mainly open-market insider purchases and sales filed at the Securities and Exchange Commission Friday, Sept. 13, 2013 as ranked by dollar value. Please note, however, that these are only factual lists, not buy and sell recommendations. Dollar value is only one metric to assess the importance of an insider transaction, and, frankly, often not even the most important metric that determines if an insider transaction is significant. At InsiderInsights.com, we find new investment ideas just about every day using these and more intricate insider screens to determine where we should focus our subsequent fundamental and technical analysis. And while stocks don't (or shouldn't) move up or down based on insider activity alone, insiders tend to be good indicators of when real stock-moving events like earnings surprises, corporate actions, and new products may be in the offing. So use these regular Top Insider Trades columns as the initial research tools they are meant to be, and click the links in the tables to analyze a company's or insider's full insider history. Also feel free to contact us with any questions on our proprietary insider data, and how it is best analyzed.

Saturday, November 16, 2013

Rite Aid Shares Surge on Solid Second-Quarter Figures

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Rite Aid  (RAD) shares were up an impressive 24% as of 3:35 p.m. EST, due in large part to unexpectedly strong second-quarter figures.

During the second quarter ended Aug. 31, the drugstore chain reported net income of $32.8 million, up $71.6 million on the year-ago quarter. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter in the black. Same-store sales grew 1% across the 4,600-strong store network.

In a conference call to investors, Rite Aid CEO John Standley credited generic medications adding to pharmacy gross margins and strong expense control as key drivers for the positive balance sheet.

Rite Aid revised its 2014 fiscal guidance in light of its better-than-expected second-quarter earnings. It is anticipated adjusted EBITDA will be $1.24 to $1.3 billion, net income $182 to $268 million, and sales $25.1 to $25.3 billion for 2014.

"We believe we have an operational game plan that will succeed in meeting the unique needs of our customers while positing Rite Aid for long-term success," said Kenneth Martindale, Rite Aid President and Chief Operating Officer, during the call.

Major competitors Walgreens (WAG) and CVS Caremark (CVS) will report quarterly earnings in October and November respectively.

Thus far, 102.37 million shares of Rite Aid changed hands compared to its average daily volume of 15.9 million shares. Overall, Rite Aid is leading the S&P 500 which is down 0.16%. 

TheStreet Ratings team rates Rite Aid as a Hold with a ratings score of C. TheStreet Ratings Team has this to say about their recommendation:

"We rate Rite Aid (RAD) a HOLD. The primary factors that have impacted our rating are mixed - some indicating strength, some showing weaknesses, with little evidence to justify the expectation of either a positive or negative performance for this stock relative to most other stocks. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its solid stock price performance, impressive record of earnings per share growth and compelling growth in net income. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including weak operating cash flow and poor profit margins."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:
Powered by its strong earnings growth of 400% and other important driving factors, this stock has surged by 170.67% over the past year, outperforming the rise in the S&P 500 Index during the same period. Regarding the stock's future course, our hold rating indicates that we do not recommend additional investment in this stock despite its gains in the past year. Rite Aid reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past two years. We feel that this trend should continue. This trend suggests that the performance of the business is improving. During the past fiscal year, Rite Aid turned its bottom line around by earning 12 cents vs. -42 cents in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings (14 cents vs. 12 cents). Regardless of the drop in revenue, the company managed to outperform against the industry average of 3.1%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly dropped by 2.7%. The declining revenue has not hurt the company's bottom line, with increasing earnings per share. The gross profit margin for Rite Aid is currently lower than what is desirable, coming in at 30.55%. Regardless of Rite Aid's low profit margin, it has managed to increase from the same period last year. Despite the mixed results of the gross profit margin, the net profit margin of 1.42% trails the industry average. Net operating cash flow has decreased to $184.45 million or 49.27% when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, when comparing the cash generation rate to the industry average, the firm's growth is significantly lower. You can view the full analysis from the report here: RAD Ratings Report Written by Keris Alison Lahiff.

Friday, November 15, 2013

America's Richest (and Poorest) States

Last year, household income remained effectively unchanged, according to data released this week by the U.S. Census Bureau. This is despite the fact that the U.S. added nearly 2.2 million jobs in 2012.

"The big story is that everything was stagnant over the year" said Economic Policy Institute’s Elise Gould. "We're stagnant, and continue to be in bad place."

While the economy continues to struggle, residents in the wealthiest states continued to make far more than in the poorest. In 2012, Maryland remained the richest state in the country, with a median household income of $71,221. Mississippi was again the poorest, with an income of $37,095 — nearly half that of Maryland's.

Click here to see the richest states

Click here to see the poorest states

Despite the addition of jobs nationwide, median incomes remained stagnant in most states and were still generally below their 2008 levels, adjusted for inflation. Sheldon Danziger, president of the Russell Sage Foundation, explained that this has been the nature of the recovery. "We have an economy that continues to grow, with most of the gains going to the economic elite. I don't see any bright prospects for the median worker, much less the poor."

States with lower median incomes generally had much higher rates of poverty than the national rate. All of the 10 states with the lowest median income in 2012 also had among the highest poverty rates in the country. While 15.9% of Americans fell below the poverty line in 2012, nearly one in four Mississippians did.

Employment is one of the biggest factors affecting income. In some states with lower unemployment, a higher share of the households had steady income, which bolsters the state's median. In many of the highest-income states, like New Hampshire, Minnesota and Hawaii, unemployment in 2012 was less than 6%, compared to a national rate of 8.1%.

Elise Gould, Director of Health Policy for Economic Policy Institute, explained that unemployment rates can have a significant effect on a state’s household income. "When we're talking about average families and poor families, the vast majority of income comes from wages. So it's about jobs." Gould cautioned, however, that unemployment rates do not tell the full story.

Unemployment rates, for example, ignore those people who have given up looking for work or accept part-time work. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, while 8.1% of American workers were unemployed in 2012, 14.7% were underemployed, meaning they wanted to work full time but could not. This was an increase from roughly 10% in 2008.

The types of jobs available in each state also affect income. A review of Census Bureau industry composition data shows that people in most of the states with a higher median income were often more likely to be employed in information, finance, professional and other positions that tend to pay higher salaries. Maryland, the wealthiest state in the country, had the highest percentage of workers in professional, scientific and management positions.

At the same time, many of the low-income states had smaller percentages of these professional occupations and higher rates of employment in retail, manufacturing and transportation. The high proportion of manufacturing jobs in low-income states might be surprising, but, explained Danziger, the makeup of the manufacturing industry in the country has changed.

"There's a difference between unionized auto company workers and non-unionized parts suppliers," Danziger said. "Even when manufacturers haven't cut wages, they are adopting labor-saving technological change."

To identify the states with the highest and lowest median household income, 24/7 Wall St. reviewed state data on income from the U.S. Census Bureau's 2012 American Community Survey (ACS). Based on Census treatment, median household income for all years is adjusted for inflation. We also reviewed unemployment data provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for 2012, as well as 2012 ACS data on health insurance coverage, employment and poverty.

These are America's richest and poorest states.

Hot Cheap Stocks To Buy Right Now

In trying to make their money work harder for them, investors often fall for questionable investment strategies that promise to help you get rich quick but usually deliver huge losses. But the smartest ways to reach your money goals don't require you to deal with arcane, hard-to-understand financial products. By following these three simple investment strategies, you can get the long-term results you want without the risk you'll find with more aggressive and dubious alternatives.

1. Dollar-cost averaging.
Few investors have huge pots of money to invest all at once, but most people are able to set aside at least a modest amount of money every month. Dollar-cost averaging involves taking that money and investing it in a mix of low-cost index mutual funds or ETFs. The exact mix depends on your tolerance for risk, your time horizon, and the amount you have to save, but by putting aside the same amount month in and month out, you'll build a habit of saving and investing.

The benefit of dollar-cost averaging is that when shares are cheaper, you'll buy more of them with the same fixed amount. Meanwhile, when prices rise, you end up with fewer shares, and so on average you'll buy more when an investment is cheap than when it's expensive. Buying low is a key tenet of investing, and dollar-cost averaging lets you take full advantage of it.

Hot Cheap Stocks To Buy Right Now: Rent-A-Center Inc.(RCII)

Rent-A-Center, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, primarily engages in leasing household durable goods to customers on a rent-to-own basis. The company?s stores offer durable products, such as consumer electronics, appliances, computers, and furniture and accessories under flexible rental purchase agreements that allow the customer to obtain ownership of the merchandise at the conclusion of an agreed upon rental period. It also provides merchandise on an installment sales basis in its stores. As of December 31, 2010, the company operated 3,008 company-owned stores in the United States, and in Canada, Puerto Rico, and Mexico, including 42 retail installment sales stores under the names ?Get It Now? and ?Home Choice?; and 18 rent-to-own stores located in Canada under the ?Rent-A-Centre? name. It also operates 209 franchised rent-to-own stores in 32 states under the ColorTyme trade name; and 384 kiosk locations under the ?RAC Acceptance? model. In addition, the company, th rough its ColorTyme?s franchised stores, offers custom rims and tires for sale or rental under the trade names ?RimTyme? or ?ColorTyme Custom Wheels?. Rent-A-Center, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.

Hot Cheap Stocks To Buy Right Now: SMTC Corporation(SMTX)

SMTC Corporation provides advanced electronics manufacturing services to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) worldwide. The company?s services include product design and engineering services, printed circuit board assembly production, enclosure fabrication, systems integration, testing, and configuration services. It also provides enclosure and precision metal fabrication, cable assembly, interconnect, and engineering design services. The company offers its integrated contract manufacturing services to OEMs and technology companies primarily in the industrial, computing and networking, communications, consumer, and medical market segments. SMTC Corporation was founded in 1985 and is based in Markham, Canada.

5 Best Tech Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Express-1 Expedited Solutions Inc.(XPO)

XPO Logistics, Inc. provides third-party logistics services using a network of relationships with ground, sea, and air carriers in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. It operates in three segments: Express-1, Concert Group Logistics, and Bounce Logistics. The Express-1 segment offers ground expedited surface transportation services for freight. It operates a fleet ranging from cargo vans to semi tractor trailer units. The Concert Group Logistics segment provides domestic and international freight forwarding services through a network of independently owned stations. Its domestic freight forwarding services include air charter, expedites, and time sensitive services, as well as cost sensitive services comprising deferred delivery, less than truckload, and full truck load services; and international freight forwarding services consist of on-board courier and air charters, time sensitive services, less-than-container and full-container-loads, and vessel charters. This segm ent also offers documentation on international shipments, customs clearance and banking, trade show shipment management, time definite and customized product distributions, reverse logistics and on site asset recovery projects, installation coordination, freight optimization, and diversity compliance support services. The Bounce Logistics segment provides premium freight brokerage services for truckload shipments. The company serves approximately 4,000 retail, commercial, manufacturing, and industrial customers through 6 U.S. operations centers and 22 agent locations. It offers its services to the automotive manufacturing, automotive components and supplies, commercial printing, durable goods manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, food and consumer products, and high tech sectors. The company was formerly known as Express-1 Expedited Solutions, Inc. and changed its name to XPO Logistics, Inc. in September 2011. XPO Logistics, Inc. was founded in 1989 and is based in Buchanan, Michi gan.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Travis Hoium]

    What: Shares of XPO Logistics (NYSE: XPO  ) jumped 13% today after announcing an acquisition.

    So what: The company will pay $365 million for logistics provider 3PD, consisting of $357 million in cash an $8 million in XPO restricted stock. Is will use its own cash and borrow $195 million from Credit Suisse Group for the remainder of the purchase. �

Hot Cheap Stocks To Buy Right Now: Cardero Resource Corporation(CDY)

Cardero Resource Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Mexico, Peru, Argentina, the United States, and Canada. The company holds a 75% interest in the Carbon Creek deposit, a metallurgical coal development project located in the Peace River Coal Field of northeast British Columbia, Canada. It also has an option to acquire 100% interest in the Pampa El Toro project, an iron sands deposit, located in southern Peru; option to acquire up to an 85% interest in the Longnose property in St. Louis county, northeastern Minnesota; and 100% leasehold interest in the Titac property, located in St. Louis county, northeastern Minnesota. The company was formerly known as Sun Devil Gold Corp. and changed its name to Cardero Resource Corp. in May 1999. Cardero Resource Corp. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Hot Cheap Stocks To Buy Right Now: The Travelers Companies Inc.(TRV)

The Travelers Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides various commercial and personal property and casualty insurance products and services to businesses, government units, associations, and individuals primarily in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Business Insurance; Financial, Professional, and International Insurance; and Personal Insurance. The Business Insurance segment offers property and casualty products and services, such as commercial multi-peril, property, general liability, commercial auto, and workers? compensation insurance. It operates in six groups: Select Accounts, which serves small businesses; Commercial Accounts that serves mid-sized businesses; National Accounts, which serves large companies; Industry-Focused Underwriting that serves targeted industries; Target Risk Underwriting, which serves commercial businesses requiring specialized product underwriting, claims handling, and risk management services; and Special ized Distribution that offers products to customers through licensed wholesale, general, and program agents. The Financial, Professional, and International Insurance segment provides surety and financial liability coverage, which uses a credit-based underwriting process; and property and casualty products primarily in the United States., the United Kingdom, Ireland, and Canada. The Personal Insurance segment offers property and casualty insurance covering personal risks, primarily automobile and homeowners insurance to individuals. It distributes its products through independent agents, sponsoring organizations, joint marketing arrangements with other insurers, and direct marketing. The company was founded in 1853 and is based in New York, New York.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Wallace Witkowski]

    While the big banks and financial firms have already reported earnings, Greenhaus noted this week will see the largest number of financial sector firms reporting than any other week. More than 20 S&P 500 financial sector companies report including several insurers such as Dow component Travelers Cos. (TRV) , a number of real-estate investment trusts such as Simon Properties Group Inc. (SPG) , capital markets firms such as Franklin Resources Inc. (BEN) �and State Street Corp. (STT) , as well as exchange operator Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. (NDAQ) �

Hot Cheap Stocks To Buy Right Now: USG Corporation(USG)

USG Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and distribution of building materials worldwide. The company offers gypsum and related products, including gypsum wallboard, joint compounds used for finishing wallboard joints, cement boards, glass mat sheathing, gypsum fiber panels, poured gypsum underlayments, ultra light panels, and various construction plaster products. Its gypsum products are used in various building applications to finish the interior walls, ceilings, and floors in residential, commercial, and institutional constructions, and repair and remodel constructions. The company also produces gypsum-based products for agricultural and industrial customers to use in various applications, including soil conditioning, road repair, fireproofing, and ceramics. In addition, it manufactures ceiling grid and acoustical ceiling tile for electrical and mechanical systems, and air distribution and maintenance applications. USG Corporation distribut es its gypsum products through specialty wallboard distributors, building materials dealers, home improvement centers and other retailers, contractors, and a network of distributors. Further, it distributes other manufacturers? gypsum wallboard, joint compound and other gypsum products, as well as drywall metal, insulation, and roofing products and accessories. The company sells its products under SHEETROCK, DUROCK, FIBEROCK, SECUROCK, LEVELROCK, RED TOP, IMPERIAL, DIAMOND, SUPREMO, AURATONE, ACOUSTONE, DONN, DX, FINELINE, CENTRICITEE, CURVATURA, and COMPASSO brands. The company was founded in 1901 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Seth Jayson]

    USG (NYSE: USG  ) reported earnings on April 24. Here are the numbers you need to know.

    The 10-second takeaway
    For the quarter ended March 31 (Q1), USG missed estimates on revenues and missed estimates on earnings per share.

  • [By Eric Volkman]

    She also serves as chairman of the United States Steel and Carnegie Pension Fund, and on that organization's investment committee. Outside of U.S. Steel, she sits on the board of directors of USG (NYSE: USG  ) and the Pennsylvania Business Council, among other entities.

Thursday, November 14, 2013

444% Increases - Billionaires on Gold Mines

Here's a look at three gold mining companies on a 52-week low. The companies selected are more than 65% off a 52-week high.

Billionaires can afford to hold these mining companies for five years of losses without a sting to the wallet and the sheer number of billionaires holding these gold companies is a compelling-enough statement. But in second quarter trading, two Guru investors upped their stakes in two of today's featured companies more than 444%, making us wonder: Is it hope, is it seasoned neutrality, or is there reason to believe these companies could be on the verge of a big pay day?

Industry Sector: Metals and Mining

The metals & mining sector currently has 30 companies out of 174 on a 52-week low. The low ratio is 0.17.

Anglogold Ashanti Limited (AU)

Down 65% over 12 months, Anglogold Ashanti Limited has a market cap of $4.85 billion, and trades with a P/E of 8.10.

The current share price is around $12.70, or 65.6% off the 52-week high of $36.93. The yield is 2.10%.

Anglogold Ashanti Limited is a gold exploration, mining and marketing company with a portfolio of operations and projects on four continents. The company is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa, and has 21 operations in 10 countries. Major development projects include: Tropicana located in Australia; Kibali in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and La Colosa in Colombia. The company's exploration programs extend to 12 countries, in both established and new gold-producing regions.

The company reported financial results for the three months ended June 30, 2013 with production of 935,000 oz., as a 4% increase over production in the first quarter of 2013. The company's adjusted gross profit for the quarter was $231 million compared to $$658 million year-over-year.

Guru Action: As of June 30, 2013, there are eleven guru stakeholders and insider buying.

The top Guru stakeholder is John Paulson who reduced his position by 1.13%, selling 319,450 shares ! at an average price of $18.03 per share, for a loss of 29.6%. He currently holds 27,935,500 shares or 7.25% of shares outstanding. The holding is 2.8% of his total assets managed.

The biggest AU news of second quarter is that Jean-Marie Eveillard's First Eagle Investment Management increased its position by 444.51%, buying 21,981,524 shares at an average price of $18.03 per share for a loss of 29.6%.

Track share pricing, revenue and net income:

[ Enlarge Image ]


Richmont Mines Inc. (RIC)

Down 70% over 12 months, Richmont Mines Inc. has a market cap of $56.23 billion, and trades with a P/B of 0.60.

The current share price is around $1.42, or 74.2% off the 52-week high of $5.50. The yield is 0.00%.

First incorporated in Quebec in 1981 under the name Resources Minieres Rouyn Inc., Richmont Mines Inc. is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, operation, financing, and development of mineral properties. The company began its exploration activities in northwestern Quebec in the spring of 1984.

The company reported financial results (reported in Canadian currency, unless otherwise noted) for the three months ended June 30, 2013 with: Revenues for the second quarter of 2013 at $17.8 million, down 25% from revenues of $23.7 million in the second quarter of 2012, reflecting a 12% decrease in the number of gold ounces sold, and a 14% decrease in the average gold price obtained in Canadian dollars. A total of 12,826 ounces of gold were sold at an average price of $1,389 ($1,367 USD) per ounce in the current quarter, versus gold sales of 14,611 ounces and an average realized sales price of $1,617 ($1,618USD) per ounce in the comparable period last year. The reported a net loss of $1.1 million, or $0.03 per share, in the second quarter of 2013, versus a net loss from continuing operations of $2.9 million, or $0.09 per share in the second quarter of 2012, according to a company press relea! se.

Guru Action: As of June 30, 2013, there are three guru stakeholders and active insider trading.

The top Guru stakeholder is Jim Simons who increased his position by 6.81%, buying 136,100 shares at an average price of $1.93 per share, making a loss of 26.4%. He currently holds 2,135,100 shares or 5.39% of shares outstanding.

In five years of holding there is not one gaining quarter. Simons has averaged a loss of 77% on 2,769,700 shares bought at an average price of $6.17 per share. He also averaged a loss of 63% on 634,600 shares sold at an average price of $3.79 per share.

Charles Brandes made a new buy as of June 30, 2013. He bought 13,696 shares at an average price of $1.93 for a loss of 26.4%.

Track share pricing, revenue and net income:

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Buenaventura Mining Company Inc. (BVN)

Down 70% over 12 months, Buenaventura Mining Company Inc. has a market cap of $2.95 billion, and trades with a P/E of 6.70.

The current share price is around $11.65, or 70.9% off the 52-week high of $40.09. The yield is 4.13%.

Located in Peru, Buenaventura Mining Company Inc. is a publicly-traded precious metals company, mainly producing refined gold and silver, either as dore bars or concentrates. The company is engaged in the exploration, mining and processing of gold, silver and, to a lesser extent, other metals such as lead, zinc and copper as concentrates.

The company reported financial results (in U.S. currency) for the three months ended June 30, 2013 with a net income of $19 million, 88% lower than $153.2 million for the same quarter in the previous year. EBITDA was reported as $40.3 million, 65% lower than $114.6 million in the same quarter a year ago, according to a company press release.

Guru Action: As of June 30, 2013, there are four guru stakeholders and no insiders trading.

The top Guru stakeholder Jeremy Grantham increased his position by 4! 0.36%, bu! ying 1,689,982 shares at an average price of $19.50 per share, for a loss of 40.3%. He currently holds 5,877,252 shares or 2.31% of shares outstanding. In five years of holding, his trading history shows every quarter with a double-digit loss.

Guru Jim Simons increased his position by 444.21% in the second quarter, buying 1,323,300 shares at an average price of $19.5 for a 40.3% loss.

Over five years, he has averaged a loss of 60% on 3,320,900 shares bought at an average price of $29.09 per share. He has averaged a loss of 55% on 5,687,500 shares sold at an average price of $26.05 per share.

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Wednesday, November 13, 2013

10 Best “Strong Buy” Stocks รข€” CSGP TYL PCYC and more

RSS Logo Portfolio Grader Popular Posts: 6 Biotechnology Stocks to Buy Now5 Oil and Gas Stocks to Buy Now9 Biotechnology Stocks to Sell Now Recent Posts: 10 Best “Strong Buy” Stocks — CSGP TYL PCYC and more 5 Stocks With Bad Earnings Momentum — FNBN NAV SGK LGCY VNR 22 Commercial Banking Stocks to Buy Now View All Posts

This week, these ten stocks, all currently earning A’s (“strong buy”) on Portfolio Grader, have the best year-to-date performance. Since the beginning of the year, the Nasdaq is up 10.9%, the Dow increased 13.2%, and the S&P has increased 12.1%.

Shares of CoStar Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:) have risen 97.6% since January 1. CoStar Group provides information and analytic services to the commercial real estate industry in the United States, the United Kingdom, and France. .

Since January 1, Tyler Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:) has jumped 98.1%. Tyler Technologies provides integrated software systems and related services for local-government entities such as counties and schools. .

Shares of Pharmacyclics, Inc. (NASDAQ:) have leapt 101.8% since January 1. Pharmacyclics is a pharmaceutical company developing products to improve upon current therapeutic approaches to cancer, atherosclerosis, and retinal disease. .

Since the first of the year, the price of Western Alliance Bancorporation (NYSE:) has swelled 104.6%. Western Alliance provides a range of banking and related services to businesses, professional firms, real estate developers and investors, local nonprofit organizations, high net worth individuals, and consumers. .

Since January 1, the price of Lions Gate Entertainment (NYSE:) has grown 105.7%. Lions Gate Entertainment develops, produces, and distributes filmed entertainment content. .

Since the first of the year, shares of FleetCor Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:) have soared 113.9%. FleetCor Technologies is an independent global provider of specialized payment products and services to commercial fleets, major oil companies and petroleum marketers. .

Since January 1, Lumber Liquidators Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:) has shot up 120%. Lumber Liquidators retails hardwood flooring in the United States. .

Since January 1, Multimedia Games Holding Company, Inc. (NASDAQ:) has climbed 124.6%. Multimedia Games designs, manufactures and supplies stand alone and networked gaming systems. .

The price of Santarus, Inc. (NASDAQ:) is up 185.7% since the first of the year. Santarus is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on acquiring, developing and commercializing proprietary products that address the needs of patients treated by gastroenterologists and other targeted physicians. .

The price of Himax Technologies, Inc. Sponsored ADR (NASDAQ:) has seen a 266.7% boost since the first of the year. Himax Technologies designs and manufactures integrated circuits. .

Louis Navellier’s proprietary Portfolio Grader stock ranking system assesses roughly 5,000 companies every week based on a number of fundamental and quantitative measures. Stocks are given a letter grade based on their results — with A being “strong buy,” and F being “strong sell.” Explore the tool here.

Tuesday, November 12, 2013

Bristol-Myers Squibb's Radical Transformation

From the smallest biotech to the biggest pharmaceutical stock The Motley Fool's Market Check-Up covers the health care sector's biggest headlines, hottest market movers, and Obamacare's ongoing rollout.

In this segment from Friday's episode, health-care analyst David Williamson examines what seems on the surface like a radical shift for Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY  ) . The company has announced that it will discontinue drug discovery in the hepatitis-C, diabetes, and neurological disorder spaces. It will instead focus on a number of treatment areas, singling out immuno-oncology as the most important for the pharma's future.

David takes a close look at this major shift and the reasons behind it, analyzes the space that Bristol-Myers is focusing on going forward, and tells investors whether this move is really as radical as it seems.

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Monday, November 11, 2013

Target Corporation Plans to Open Earlier on Thanksgiving Day (TGT)

On Monday, retail giant Target (TGT) announced that its stores will be open on Thanksgiving day, giving shoppers early access to its Black Friday deals.

Beginning at 8:00 pm on Thanksgiving day, Target shoppers will have access to the store’s doorbuster deals, which will take place in store and online from Thursday November 28 to Saturday November 30. Some of Target’s doorbuster deals include Apple iPad Minis for only $299 and the new iPad Air for $479.

Commenting on Target’s Thanksgiving Day plans, executive vice president Kathee Tesija noted “For both our guests and team members, Black Friday is an exciting event that officially marks the beginning of the holiday shopping season. By offering advance access to deals at Target.com and opening our stores earlier, we are making it easier for guests to build a Black Friday ritual that works for them. No matter where or when they choose to shop at Target, guests will be able to kick off their holiday shopping with deep discounts on a wide variety of the season's most popular items.”

Target shares inched 0.88% higher during Monday’s session. Year-to-date, the stock is up 10.69%.

Sunday, November 10, 2013

The Fed Gives The OK To Load Up On Emerging Markets

After being one of the stock market's darlings for the last decade or so, emerging market nations took a break over the last few weeks as investors prepared themselves for the eventual end of Federal Reserve easing programs. With Fed Chairman Ben Bernake's recent decision not to taper bond purchases as early as expected, a fire has once again been lit under emerging markets. Investors may want to plow back in.

No Taper Yet

Here's why:

First, as the Fed has lowered economic growth forecasts for the U.S., the various bond buying programs could last well into 2014. That fact is certainly intensified by the prediction that "dovish" Janet Yellen is almost guaranteed the next Fed chairman spot after Bernanke. Her background suggests that easing programs could be on the table for quite a while until unemployment drops further and economic growth accelerates.

In addition, aside from the obvious "cheap money" that will continue to push up emerging market equities and bonds higher, emerging markets still look good on a number of fronts. The recent declines have pushed valuations into the bargain territory. Looking at P/E ratios, the sector is currently trading at a 35% discount to developed markets. This is significantly lower than the historical norm. That discount also extends to other metrics like price-to-book and price-to-cash flows.

Despite this cheapness, much of the emerging market growth story remains valid. Rising middle class populations, commodity wealth along with fiscal discipline are still hallmarks of the developing world.

Upping Exposure

Broad sector measures such as iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (NYSE:EEM) or the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (NYSE:VWO) are still the easiest and broadest routes gain exposure.

The PowerShares DWA Emerging Markets Technical Leaders ETF (NYSE:PIE) could be one of the best ways to get the most bang for your Fed buck in the sector. This ETF ranks its components based on relative strength traits. That means it bets on faster moving emerging market companies like Companhia de Bebidas Das Americas (NYSE:ABV) and HDFC Bank (NYSE:HDB). Top nations include Indonesia, Thailand and Turkey. The fund jumped nearly 5% on the day Bernanke announced that he wasn't going to taper. PIE's expenses run 0.90%.

A recent research paper by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York showed that large-scale asset purchases have the effect of pushing investors into emerging market debt. That means both the iShares JPMorgan USD Emerging Markets Bond (NYSE:EMB) and WisdomTree Emerging Markets Local Debt (NYSE:ELD) could be big buys as the Fed continues to stimulate. Both make direct bets on emerging market bonds with dollar and local currency exposure, respectively.

Finally, perhaps the biggest discount in the emerging world can be found in the BRICs. Brazil, Russia, India and China have been hit especially hard as many investors abandoned their growth stories. The SPDR S&P BRIC 40 (NYSE:BIK) tracks 40 of the largest companies in these nations and can be used to gain extra exposure to the titans.

The Bottom Line

The emerging market nations have been hit hard this year as tapering concerns have caused investors to flee risky assets. However, with the Fed signaling that quantitative easing is still very much on the table, the sector should continue to rally into the New Year. For investors, making a play in the developing world could be a big portfolio win. The previous picks- along with the Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF (NASDAQ:SCHE) –make ideal selections.

Disclosure: At the time of writing, the author owned shares of VWO

Saturday, November 9, 2013

5 Stocks Set to Soar on Bullish Earnings

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- Short-sellers hate being caught short a stock that reports a blowout quarter. When this happens, we often see a tradable short squeeze develop as the bears rush to cover their positions to avoid big losses. Even the best short-sellers know that it's never a great idea to stay short once a bullish earnings report sparks a big short-covering rally.

>>4 Huge Stocks on Traders' Radars

This is why I scan the market for heavily shorted stocks that are about to report earnings. You only need to find a few of these stocks in a year to help enhance your portfolio returns -- the gains become so outsized in such a short time frame that your profits add up quickly.

That said, let's not forget that stocks are heavily shorted for a reason, so you have to use trading discipline and sound money management when playing earnings short-squeeze candidates. It's important that you don't go betting the farm on these plays and that you manage your risk accordingly. Sometimes the best play is to wait for the stock to break out following the report before you jump in to profit off a short squeeze. This way, you're letting the trend emerge after the market has digested all of the news.

Of course, sometimes the stock is going to be in such high demand that you risk missing a lot of the move by waiting. That's why it can be worth betting prior to the report -- but only if the stock is acting technically very bullish and you have a very strong conviction that it is going to rip higher. Just remember that even when you have that conviction and have done your due diligence, the stock can still get hammered if The Street doesn't like the numbers or guidance.

>>5 Stocks Ready to Break Out

If you do decide to bet ahead of a quarter, then you might want to use options to limit your capital exposure. Heavily shorted stocks are usually the names that make the biggest post-earnings moves and have the most volatility. I personally prefer to wait until all the earnings-related news is out for a heavily shorted stock and then jump in and trade the prevailing trend.

With that in mind, here's a look at several stocks that could experience big short squeezes when they report earnings this week.

AeroVironment

My first earnings short-squeeze play is unmanned aircraft and efficient energy systems player AeroVironment (AVAV), which is set to release numbers on Tuesday after the market close. Wall Street analysts, on average, expect AeroVironment to report revenue of $43.78 million on a loss of 7 cents per share.

The current short interest as a percentage of the float for AeroVironment is pretty high at 11.6%. That means that out of the 17.70 million shares in the tradable float, 2.24 million shares are sold short by the bears. The bears have also been increasing their bets from the last reporting period by 4.7%, or by 99,000 shares. If the bears are caught pressing their bets into a strong quarter, then shares of AVAV could jump sharply higher post-earnings as the bears rush to cover some of their bets.

>>5 Rocket Stocks to Buy This Week

From a technical perspective, AVAV is currently trending above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which is bullish. This stock has been trending sideways inside of a consolidation pattern for the last month and change, with shares moving between $23.97 on the upside and $22.08 on the downside. Any high-volume move above the upper-end of its recent range post-earnings could trigger a big breakout trade for shares of AVAV.

If you're bullish on AVAV, then I would wait until after its report and look for long-biased trades if this stock manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $23.43 to $23.97 a share and then once it clears its 52-week high at $24.64 a share with high volume. Look for volume on that move that hits near or above its three-month average action of 213,342 shares. If that breakout triggers, then AVAV will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are its next major overhead resistance levels at $28 to $32 a share, or even $33 a share.

Zale

Another potential earnings short-squeeze play is fine jewelry retailer Zale (ZLC), which is set to release its numbers Wednesday before the market open. Wall Street analysts, on average, expect Zale to report revenue of $409.04 million on a loss of 33 cents per share.

>>5 Stocks Triggering Breakouts on Big Volume

The current short interest as a percentage of the float for Zale is notable at 7.8%. That means that out of the 31.97 million shares in the tradable float, 2.49 million shares are sold short by the bears. This is a decent short interest on a stock with a relatively low tradable float. If the bulls get the earnings news they're looking for, then shares of ZLC could easily rip sharply higher post-earnings as the bears move to cover some of their short positions.

From a technical perspective, ZLC is currently trending above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which is bullish. This stock has been trending sideways inside of a consolidation pattern for the last three months, with shares moving between $8 on the downside and $10.49 on the upside. Any high-volume move above the upper end of its recent range post-earnings could trigger a major breakout trade for shares of ZLC.

If you're in the bull camp on ZLC, then I would wait until after its report and look for long-biased trades if this stock manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $9.50 to its 52-week high at $10.49 a share with high volume. Look for volume on that move that hits near or above its three-month average action of 830,678 shares. If that breakout triggers, then ZLC will set up to enter new 52-week high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are $14 to $15 a share.

I would simply avoid ZLC or look for short-biased trades if after earnings it fails to trigger that breakout, and then drops back below some key near-term support levels at $8.69 to $7.96 a share with high volume. If we get that move, then ZLC will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major support levels at $6.50 to its 200-day moving average at $6.05 a share.

Fresh Market

One potential earnings short-squeeze candidate is specialty foods retailer Fresh Market (TFM), which is set to release numbers on Wednesday after the market close. Wall Street analysts, on average, expect Fresh Market to report revenue of $357 million on earnings of 32 cents per share.

>>3 Big Stocks to Trade (or Not)

The current short interest as a percentage of the float for Fresh Market is pretty high at 9.4%. That means that out of the 40.11 million shares in the tradable float, 3.75 million shares are sold short by the bears. This is a big short interest on a stock with a relatively low tradable float. If the bulls get the earnings news they're looking for, then shares of TFM could spike sharply higher post-earnings as the bears get squeezed out of some of their short positions.

From a technical perspective, TFM is currently trending above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which is bullish. This stock has been uptrending strong for the last six months, with shares moving higher from its low of $36.51 to its recent high of $57.17 a share. During that uptrend, shares of TFM have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. That move has now pushed shares of TFM within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade post-earnings.

If you're bullish on TFM, then I would wait until after its report and look for long-biased trades if this stock manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance at $57.17 a share with high volume. Look for volume on that move that hits near or above its three-month average action of 481,812 shares. If that breakout triggers, then TFM will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $62.48 to its 52-week high at $65.69 a share.

I would avoid TFM or look for short-biased trades if after earnings it fails to trigger that breakout and then drops back below some key near-term support levels at its 50-day moving average of $52.95 to $52.81 a share with high volume. If we get that move, then TFM will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major support levels at its 200-day moving average of $48.56 to $48 a share.

Joy Global

Another earnings short-squeeze prospect is high productivity mining equipment maker Joy Global (JOY), which is set to release numbers on Wednesday before the market open. Wall Street analysts, on average, expect Joy Global to report revenue of $1.18 billion on earnings of $1.36 per share.

>>5 Stocks With Big Insider Buying

The current short interest as a percentage of the float for Joy Global is extremely high at 17.6%. That means that out of the 105.45 million shares in the tradable float, 18.58 million shares are sold short by the bears. The bears have also been increasing their bets from the last reporting period by 14.2%, or by about 2.3 million shares. If the bears are caught pressing their bets into a bullish quarter, then shares of JOY could rip sharply higher post-earnings as the bears jump to cover some of their short positions.

From a technical perspective, JOY is currently trending above its 50-day moving average and below its 200-day moving average, which is neutral trendwise. This stock recently formed a double bottom chart pattern at $47.96 to $47.83 a share. Following that bottom, shares of JOY have started to uptrend and move back above its 50-day moving average. That move has now pushed JOY within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade post-earnings.

If you're bullish on JOY, then I would wait until after its report and look for long-biased trades if this stock manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $54.12 to $55.50 a share with high volume. Look for volume on that move that hits near or above its three-month average action of 1.90 million shares. If that breakout triggers, then JOY will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at its 200-day moving average of $57 to $59.50. Any high-volume move above those levels will then put its next major overhead resistance levels at $61.50 to $63 into range for shares of JOY.

I would avoid JOY or look for short-biased trades if after earnings it fails to trigger that breakout and then drops back below its 50-day moving average at $50.46 a share to more near-term support at $50.25 share with high volume. If we get that move, then JOY will set up to re-test or possibly take out its double bottom low area at $47.96 to $47.83 a share. If $47.83 a share gets taken out with volume, then JOY will enter new 52-week-low territory, which is bearish technical price action.

Bio-Reference Laboratories

My final earnings short-squeeze play is clinical testing laboratory player Bio-Reference Laboratories (BRLI), which is set to release numbers on Thursday before the market open. Wall Street analysts, on average, expect Bio-Reference Laboratories to report revenue of $183.53 million on earnings of 51 cents per share.

The current short interest as a percentage of the float for Bio-Reference Laboratories is extremely high at 37.4%. That means that out of the 24.45 million shares in the tradable float, 9.17 million shares are sold short by the bears. This is a monster short interest on a stock with a very low tradable float. Any bullish earnings news could easily send shares of BRLI skyrocketing higher post-earnings as the bears rush to cover some of their short positions.

From a technical perspective, BRLI is currently trending above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which is bullish. This stock has been trending range bound for the last two months, with shares moving between $30 on the upside and $25.38 on the downside. Any high-volume move above the upper-end of its recent range post-earnings could trigger a big breakout trade for shares of BRLI.

If you're in the bull camp on BRLI, then I would wait until after its report and look for long-biased trades if this stock manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $28.24 to $30 a share with high volume. Look for volume on that move that hits near or above its three-month average volume of 305,850 shares. If that breakout triggers, then BRLI will set up to re-test or possibly take out its 52-week high at $32.47 to its three-year high at $32.86 a share. Any high-volume move above those levels will then put $35 to $40 into range for shares of BRLI.

I would avoid BRLI or look for short-biased trades if after earnings it fails to trigger that breakout, and then drops back below its 200-day moving average at $27.46 to its 50-day moving average at $27.31 a share with high volume. If we get that move, then BRLI will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major support levels at $26 to $25.38 a share. Any high-volume move below those levels will then give BRLI a chance to tag its 52-week low at $23.36 a share.
To see more potential earnings short squeeze plays, check out the Earnings Short Squeeze Plays portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


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>>5 Heavily Shorted Stocks Hedge Funds Love

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


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