Wednesday, December 31, 2014

To compete with robo-advisers, Nally proposes charging clients for all services

The man who leads the TD Ameritrade Inc. division serving registered investment advisers is pitching a new way for those firms to get paid as they stare down increasing competition from the online portfolio managers called robo-advisers.

Thomas Nally, president of TD Ameritrade Institutional, said firms should consider replacing the widely used fee based on assets under management with one based on total wealth under advisement.

“Don’t charge on just that one little slice of the pie. Why don’t we charge a lower basis point number on total wealth that you’re advising on so you can have the same number as some of these robo-advisers, but provide much more services?” said Mr. Nally.

According to the proposal, if an adviser provides tax or estate strategies associated with a home or business, for instance, they would assess a total fee that was linked to those assets, in addition to the client’s securities portfolio. By accounting for the wider array of assets covered, the overall fee could be lowered — making it competitive with the low headline figure advertised by online advisory firms, Mr. Nally said.

Mr. Nally’s remarks to a set of his firm’s top advisers Monday and in an interview with InvestmentNews Wednesday, reinvigorated discussion of alternative fee structures for financial advisers, a topic of years of discussion and consternation.

Some advisers see fees linked to assets under management as devaluing aspects of their service offerings beyond securities and investment manager selection, such as estate and tax planning. Others see the fee as an easy way to be rewarded for investment decisions that benefit clients and to participate, alongside those clients, in the upside of a rising market, such as the one enjoyed by U.S. stocks since 2009.

Figures on the number of advisers using fees for engagement or other alternative fee models are hard to come by. But anecdotally, the use of such models is marginal. That’s despite the advocacy of people like Sheryl Garrett, a fiduciary advocate who recommends hourly fees for advisers in her namesake network.

At the same time, in their move to transition to fee-based business and more planning-centric relationships, wir

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Frequent Flyer Smiles: It's Easier to Redeem Miles

Economy Class Seating Inside An Airplane Getty Images @Lebeaucarnews Here's something those trying to cash in on frequent flyer miles or points seldom hear: It's now easier to book the flight you want to the destination you want. The annual Switchfly Reward Seat Availability Survey, which gauges the frequent flyer programs at 25 of the world's largest airlines, found seats were available for frequent flyer redemption on 72.4 percent of the flights checked. That's a 1.3 percent increase compared with the prior year. "I was surprised by this year's results," said Jay Sorensen, president of IdeaWorks consulting firm, which surveyed 7,640 flights in March. "Typically, when you see the industry recovering from financial duress, one of the things they cut back on is giving away free seats." Instead, many airlines have actually made frequent flyer seats available on more of their flights. Sorensen credits the boost to the independent credit cards many flyers now use to rack up award miles that they can redeem without restrictions. Those credit cards, like the one offered by Capitol One, have become popular with consumers, and have forced airlines to make it easier for members of their own frequent flyer programs to cash in miles or points in order to compete. "[The airlines] want to compete against the bank-issued credit cards, so this is one way for them to do that," Sorensen said. Another factor is an accounting rule that says airlines can book revenue from the sale of frequent flyer miles only after the passenger has traveled. Low-cost carriers offer the most options As has been the case in past years, low-cost carriers have the most flights offering seats for frequent flyer redemption, according to the study. On average, 95.8 percent of the low-cost airline flights surveyed had seats available. By comparison, traditional airlines had frequent flyer award seats on 65 percent of their flights. That's up 4 percent from last year, but still well below the availability offered by low-cost airlines. Airlines with the most flights with seats open for redemption

Rank Airline % of flights with seats open
1 Air Berlin 100
1 Southwest 100
2 Virgin Australia 99.3
3 JetBlue 92.9
4 AirAsia 92.1
5 GOL 90.7
Credit: IdeaWorks "The low-cost carriers tend to have a lot of frequency into the markets they serve, so they do have an inherent advantage," Sorensen said. The frequent flyer programs offered by airlines such as Southwest (LUV) and JetBlue (JBLU) are also younger than the programs at older, legacy carriers. As those airlines have merged and become bigger over the years, so have the number of members in their loyalty programs. That means there are more miles in those programs than in the programs offered by competitors. Among the largest airlines in the world, Delta (DAL) and United (UAL) flew in different directions in the latest report. Delta, which finished dead last in the 2013 survey, moved up to 16th place. IdeaWorks found frequent flyer seats available on 55 percent of the Delta flights it surveyed, an increase of 18.6 percent compared with last year. "I think Delta finally got around to looking at the health of their frequent flyer product and said, 'You know, we need to make some changes here,'" Sorensen said. By comparison, United Airlines slipped to 14th place in the survey. IdeaWorks found frequent flyer seats available on 71.4 percent of flights, down 8.6 percent.

Sunday, December 28, 2014

Advice on Financial Independence From Around the Web

Oh, to be financially independent. The thought of having enough money that you don't need to work sounds great, right? But if you're counting on winning lottery ticket to help you achieve the good life, you might want to reconsider your approach (see 5 Better Investments Than the Lottery). Instead, consider the advice of J.D. Roth, who founded the Get Rich Slowly blog in 2006 when he was deep in debt but managed to achieve financial independence with what he calls a "three-pronged attack." See J.D.'s one-page guide to financial independence to see how he saved enough to support himself without working. And for more advice on increasing your income to gain more independence, here's what some of our favorite personal finance bloggers are saying:

SEE ALSO: Knight Kiplinger's 8 Keys to Financial Security

10 Dumb Habits That Are Keeping You From Earning More Money [Wise Bread]
"There are plenty of worlds created by others that we spend time in that rob us of our ability to produce and ultimately increase wealth."

5 Ways to Recession-Proof Your Life [Money Under 30]
"Do you have a plan in the event you lose your job? If not, this is required reading."

5 Investing Basics That Can Make You Rich [Wise Bread]
"So you want to become a better investor, build more wealth, and gain financial freedom? Great! Where do you begin?"

Financial Advice for Modern-Day Cinderellas [Alpha Consumer]
"If we're teaching women that we need somebody else to rescue us, emotionally or financially, then we're all headed for disaster."

'Getting Rich' Is a Code Word [The Simple Dollar]
"Don't let the emotional impact of your dreams (and how 'getting rich' can make them happen) get in the way of making smart decisions."

News Flash: A High Income Can't Guarantee Financial Freedom [Len Penzo dot Com]
"Those who are unable -- or unwilling -- to spend less than they earn are, by default, incapable of ever being financially free."



4 Stocks Spiking on Big Volume

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- Professional traders running mutual funds and hedge funds don't just look at a stock's price moves; they also track big changes in volume activity. Often when above-average volume moves into an equity, it precedes a large spike in volatility.

>>5 Stocks Set to Soar on Bullish Earnings

Major moves in volume can signal unusual activity, such as insider buying or selling -- or buying or selling by "superinvestors."

Unusual volume can also be a major signal that hedge funds and momentum traders are piling into a stock ahead of a catalyst. These types of traders like to get in well before a large spike, so it's always a smart move to monitor unusual volume. That said, remember to combine trend and price action with unusual volume. Put them all together to help you decipher the next big trend for any stock.

>>5 Rocket Stocks Worth Buying This Week

With that in mind, let's take a look at several stocks rising on unusual volume today.

Mentor Graphics

Mentor Graphics (MENT) supplies electronic design automation systems. This stock closed up 5.2% at $23.64 in Monday's trading session.

Monday's Volume: 1.78 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 554,255

Volume % Change: 224%

From a technical perspective, MENT ripped sharply higher here right above its 50-day moving average of $22.27 with strong upside volume. This move pushed shares of MENT into breakout territory, since the stock took out some near-term overhead resistance levels at $22.82 to $22.92. Shares of MENT also flirted with a new 52-week high on Monday, after the stock challenged its previous 52-week high at $23.72. Market players should now look for a continuation move higher for MENT in the short-term if this stock manages to take out its new 52-week high at $23.88 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in MENT as long as it's trending above $23 or above Monday's low of $22.48, and then once it sustains a move or close above $23.88 with volume that's near or above 554,255 shares. If we get that move soon, then MENT will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that move are $26 to $30.

Gentex

Gentex (GNTX) designs, develops, manufactures and markets proprietary electro-optic products, including automatic-dimming rearview mirrors for the automotive industry and fire protection products mainly for the commercial building industry. This stock closed up 5.1% at $32.29 in Monday's trading session.

Monday's Volume: 2.32 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 1.07 million

Volume % Change: 155%

From a technical perspective, GNTX spiked sharply higher here and broke out into new 52-week-high territory with above-average volume. This stock has been uptrending strong for the last four months and change, with shares moving higher from its low of $21.18 to its intraday high of $32.59. During that move, shares of GNTX have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. Market players should now look for a continuation move higher in the short-term if GNTX can manage to clear its new 52-week high at $32.59 with strong volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in GNTX as long as it's trending above Monday's low of $30.95 or above $30 and then once it sustains a move or close above $32.59 with volume that's near or above 1.07 million shares. If we get that move soon, then GNTX will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that move are $35 to $37.

Bind Therapeutics

Bind Therapeutics (BIND) develops various targeted and programmable therapeutics. This stock closed up 4.4% at $13.47 in Monday's trading session.

Monday's Volume: 307,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 153,197

Volume % Change: 195%

From a technical perspective, BIND spiked sharply higher here and broke out above some near-term overhead resistance at $13.33 with above-average volume. This stock has been uptrending strong for the last month and change, with shares moving higher from its low of $8.36 to its intraday high of $13.66. During that uptrend, shares of BIND have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. Market players should now look for a continuation move higher in the short-term if BIND can manage to take out Monday's high of $13.66 with strong volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in BIND as long as it's trending above Monday's low of $12.94 or above its 50-day at $12.12, and then once it sustains a move or close above $13.66 with volume that's near or above 153,197 shares. If we get that move soon, then BIND will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $15 to its all-time high at $15.89. Any high-volume move above those levels will then give BIND a chance to tag $17 to $20.

Valeant Pharmaceuticals

Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX) is a specialty pharmaceutical company that develops, manufactures and markets a broad range of pharmaceutical products primarily in the areas of neurology, dermatology and branded generics. This stock closed up 3.8% at $110.92 in Monday's trading session.

Monday's Volume: 2.01 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 1.12 million

Volume % Change: 84%

From a technical perspective, VRX spiked sharply higher here right above some near-term support at $105.17 and back above its 50-day moving average of $108.78 with above-average volume. This move is quickly pushing shares of VRX with range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if VRX manages to take out Monday's high of $111.35 to some more near-term overhead resistance levels at $111.39 to $112.47 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in VRX as long as it's trending above its 50-day at $108.78 or above $107 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that's near or above 1.12 million shares. If that breakout hits soon, then VRX will set up to re-test or possibly take out its 52-week high at $115.40. Any high-volume move above $115.40 will then give VRX a chance to tag $120.

To see more stocks rising on unusual volume, check out the Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


RELATED LINKS:



>>5 Stocks Ready to Break Out



>>3 Big Stocks on Traders' Radars



>>5 Stocks Under $10 Set to Soar

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


Saturday, December 27, 2014

Hewlett-Packard Lowers Notebook Estimates for 2014 (HPQ)

The Palo Alto-based computer manufacturer Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) announced on Monday that it expects to ship significantly fewer notebooks in the coming year.

According to an internal forecast, the company is expected to ship 21 million laptop units in 2014, which would mark a serious deterioration from 2012′s sales figure of 32 million units. Looking out even further, it was reported that HP’s 2015 sales figure could be as low as 19 million units; as far as the current year goes, most are predicting sales of fewer than 30 million units. The undeniable shift into the mobile space has resonated well for tablets, while taking a big bite out of HP’s “bread and butter” notebook division.

Hewlett-Packard shares traded sideways on Monday, gaining 0.38% on the day. The stock is up nearly 57% YTD.

Thursday, December 25, 2014

Today's 3 Best Stocks

Today's economic data certainly didn't seem to indicate the broad-based S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC  ) would end the day higher, but further commentary from the Federal Reserve outweighed all that news to push us higher yet again.

The "will they or won't they" debate is really starting to weigh on investors. Ever since the Fed commented that it would consider paring back its bond-buying program of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, we've been whipsawed up and down. Leading that volatility are investors' interpretations of Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's comments, and the comments of his Fed governors, which are getting blown out of proportion in both directions. Today, the comments leaned toward keeping QE3 in place, which seemed to please the markets.

On the flipside, economic data wasn't horrific, but it wasn't good, either. First-quarter GDP was revised down 0.1% from its previous estimate of 2.5% to 2.4% and weekly jobless claims rose nearly 3% to a seasonally adjusted 354,000. Both figures would suggest that a slower recovery than wanted is occurring in the U.S. economy.

As I mentioned, when all was said and done, the Fed more than outweighed today's negative economic data and pushed the S&P 500 higher by 6.05 points (0.37%) to finish at 1,654.41.

Powering the S&P 500 higher were shares of solar-panel producer First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR  ) , which rose 6.6% after receiving an upgrade from Goldman Sachs to "buy" from "hold" with a price target of $64. U.S.-based solar producers like First Solar are starting to realize the advantages of their higher-efficiency panels, with import tariffs being placed on cheaper Chinese solar panels and a combination of oversupply and huge debt levels crushing China-based manufacturers. As long as subsidies remain in place for solar conversion in the U.S., you can expect alternative energies like solar to thrive.

Heading notably higher as well, up 5.5%, was medical-products supplier CareFusion (NYSE: CFN  ) which is said to be in talks as a possible acquirer of Britain-based Smiths Group's medical division. Although neither company would comment on a potential sale it would clearly be a positive for CareFusion since its revenue growth has stagnated in recent years. We should hopefully know more about these developments over the coming weeks.

Finally, storage-equipment maker EMC (NYSE: EMC  ) advanced 5.4% after expanding its share repurchase program from $1 billion to $6 billion by the end of 2015. The company commented that it plans to repurchase $3.5 billion worth of shares by the end of the second quarter of 2014. Furthermore, EMC also initiated a quarterly dividend of $0.10 to give the company a projected yield of 1.6%. While great news for shareholders and certainly a testament to EMC's amazing cash flow, it also signals to investors that its high growth days may be over. 

Can this stock continue to shine?
Investors and bystanders alike have been shocked by First Solar's precipitous drop over the past two years. The stakes have never been higher for the company: Is it done for good, or ready for a rebound? If you're looking for continuing updates and guidance on the company whenever news breaks, The Motley Fool has created a brand-new report that details every must know side of this stock. To get started, simply click here now.

Jack in the Box Beats on EPS But GAAP Results Lag

Jack in the Box (Nasdaq: JACK  ) reported earnings on May 15. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended April 14 (Q2), Jack in the Box met expectations on revenues and beat expectations on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue shrank significantly. Non-GAAP earnings per share increased significantly. GAAP earnings per share shrank significantly.

Gross margins increased, operating margins grew, net margins dropped.

Revenue details
Jack in the Box booked revenue of $355.6 million. The 16 analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ looked for net sales of $359.1 million on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were 30% lower than the prior-year quarter's $506.6 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
EPS came in at $0.33. The 14 earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ forecast $0.31 per share. Non-GAAP EPS of $0.33 for Q2 were 22% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.27 per share. GAAP EPS of $0.30 for Q2 were 38% lower than the prior-year quarter's $0.48 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 23.2%, 690 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 8.3%, 290 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 3.7%, 60 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. (Margins calculated in GAAP terms.)

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $369.2 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.42.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $1.55 billion. The average EPS estimate is $1.61.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 325 members out of 364 rating the stock outperform, and 39 members rating it underperform. Among 127 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 122 give Jack in the Box a green thumbs-up, and five give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Jack in the Box is outperform, with an average price target of $36.38.

Does Jack in the Box have what it takes to execute internationally? Take a look at some American restaurant concepts that are generating profits in all over the globe in, "3 American Companies Set to Dominate the World." It's free for a limited time. Click here for instant access to this free report.

Add Jack in the Box to My Watchlist.

Wednesday, December 24, 2014

Carnival Corporation Posts Q4 Net Loss; Beats Estimates (CCL)

Before Friday’s opening bell, Carnival Corporation (CCL) released its fourth quarter earnings. The cruise ship company reported a net loss, but beat analysts’ expectations. 

CCL’s Earnings in Brief

CCL posted a net loss of $102, or 13 cents per share, compared to net income of $66 million, or 8 cents per share, a year ago. Adjusted earnings were $210 million, or 27 cents per share, up from $35 million, or 4 cents per share, last year. Revenue increased to $3.72 billion from $3.66 billion. On average, analysts expected to see adjusted earnings of 20 cents and $3.81 billion in revenue. Looking ahead, the company expects to see FY2015 non-GAAP earnings between $2.30 and $2.60 per share. Analysts expect to see EPS of $2.34.

CEO Commentary

Carnival Corporation & plc President and CEO Arnold Donald commented: “Full year earnings were significantly higher than the prior year primarily due to strong profit improvement at both our Carnival Cruise Lines and Costa Cruises brands. We enjoyed some early wins from our collaboration efforts that contributed to our improved results, particularly for onboard revenues. We worked hard to contain costs and achieved an almost five percent reduction in fuel consumption for the year as we continue to implement energy conservation measures. We also made a number of strategic decisions in fleet investments that will position us well for the future.”

CCL’s Dividend

CCL paid its last 25 cent dividend on November 21. We expect the company to declare its next dividend in January.

CCL Dividend Snapshot

As of market close on December 18, 2014

CCL dividend yield annual payout payout ratio dividend growth

Click here to see the complete history of CCL dividends.

Carnival shares were down 37 cents, or 0.87%, during Friday morning trading. The stock is up 9.73% YTD.

Tuesday, December 23, 2014

Judge Approves Bankruptcy Exit Plan for Detroit

Detroit Bankruptcy Paul Sancya/APDetroit skyline DETROIT -- A judge cleared Detroit to emerge from bankruptcy Friday, approving a turnaround plan that will require discipline after years of corruption, mismanagement and an exodus of residents brought this one-time industrial powerhouse to financial ruin. "What happened in Detroit must never happen again," Judge Steven Rhodes said in bringing the case to a close a remarkably speedy 16 months after Detroit -- the cradle of the auto industry -- became the biggest city in U.S. history to file for bankruptcy. The plan calls for cutting retiree pensions by 4.5 percent, erasing $7 billion of debt and spending $1.7 billion to demolish thousands of blighted buildings, make the city safer and improve long-neglected basic services. In signing off on the plan, Rhodes made a fervent plea to residents who expressed sorrow and disgust about the city's woes. "Move past your anger. Move past it and join in the work that is necessary to fix this city," he said. "Help your city leaders do that. It is your city."

Move past your anger. Move past it and join in the work that is necessary to fix this city.

The Motor City was brought down by a combination of factors, including misrule at City Hall, a long decline in the auto industry, and a flight to the suburbs that caused the population to plummet to 688,000 from 1.2 million in 1980. The exodus has turned entire neighborhoods into desolate, boarded-up landscapes. With more square miles than Manhattan, Boston and San Francisco combined, Detroit didn't have enough tax revenue to cover pensions, retiree health insurance and buckets of debt sold to keep the budget afloat. "Detroit's inability to provide adequate municipal services runs deep and has for years. It is inhumane and intolerable, and it must be fixed," the judge said. Rhodes praised decisions that settled the most contentious issues in the bankruptcy case, including a deal to prevent the sell-off of world-class art at the Detroit Institute of Arts and a consensus that prevented pension cuts from getting even worse for thousands of retirees. He said the pension deal "borders on the miraculous," though he acknowledged the cuts could still cause severe misfortune for some. Politicians and civic leaders, including Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder, hailed Friday's milestone. Museum leaders said it means "there are good days ahead for our city," while Detroit Regional Chamber President and CEO Sandy K. Baruah declared Detroit to be "on the cusp of a new era and primed to reinvent itself in a way many people did not think possible." "Exiting bankruptcy so effectively and thoughtfully has wiped out decades of mismanagement and created a historic opportunity to move the city without mortgaging its future," Baruah said. The case concluded in lightning speed by bankruptcy standards. The success was largely due to a series of deals between Detroit and major creditors, especially retirees who agreed to accept smaller pension checks after the judge said they had no protection under the Michigan Constitution. Also, bond insurers with more than $1 billion in claims dropped their push to sell off art and settled for much less. It took more than two years for a smaller city, Stockton, California, to get out of bankruptcy. San Bernardino, a California city even smaller than Stockton, is still operating under Chapter 9 protection more than two years after filing. Rhodes had to accept Detroit's remedy or reject it in full, not pick pieces. His appointed expert, Martha "Marti" Kopacz of Boston, said it was "skinny" but "feasible," and she linked any future success to the skills of the mayor and City Council and a badly needed overhaul of technology at City Hall. The most unusual feature of the plan is an $816 million pot of money funded by the state, foundations, philanthropists and the Detroit Institute of Arts. The money will forestall even deeper pension cuts and also avert the sale of city-owned art at the museum -- a step the judge warned "would forfeit Detroit's future."

Monday, December 22, 2014

Oil’s Plunge Came at a Bad Time for Seadrill

Citigroup’s Mukhtar Garadaghi and Nikhil Gupta explain why the fall in oil prices is bad news for Seadrill (SDRL):

Kommersant via Getty Images

The rapid fall in oil price has coincided with budgeting season for the industry and is likely to have lasting implications, with more pronounced effects for the services sector. Capital discipline is likely to gain further focus, with our Oil Vision database pointing to 30% lower activity levels stress testing projects at $70/bbl vs $100/bbl. For OFS, an industry dependent on continued sanctioning of new investment this is likely to lead to reduced visibility, lower asset utilisations and hence lower margins in the near and medium term. Our growth estimates are lowered across the sector to reflect a slow-down in investment, especially at the top-end of the cost curve (LNG, heavy oil, parts of deepwater). This places the sector on 9x 2016E earnings (vs market at 12x), however we see 25%+ downside risk to earnings if lower commodity prices are sustained…

We downgrade Seadrill to Neutral/High Risk from Buy…A combination of disappointing exploration, further FID delays and increased oil price uncertainty lead to a 10% reduction in our medium-term rig demand forecast. Combined with significant supply added in 2015 this is likely to extend the current market weakness into 2016, which could materially affect Seadrill's ability to sign (and hence finance) the next wave of its newbuilds. We see increased risk of dividend cuts to maintain the leverage ratio within covenants.

Shares of Seadrill have fallen 43% so far this year and 17% in October alone, so it probably shouldn’t come as a surprise that its shares have gained 1.7% to $23.44 at 12:28 p.m. today–even as the price of oil continues to fall.

In fact, it’s a good day for offshore drillers all around, as Atwood Oceanics (ATW) has jumped 2.3% to $40.80, Rowan (RDC) has climbed 2.1% to $22.923 and Transocean (RIG) has advanced 0.7% to $28.98 and Noble (NE) is up 1.1% at $19.72.

Saturday, December 20, 2014

5 Stocks Set to Soar on Bullish Earnings

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- Short-sellers hate being caught short a stock that reports a blowout quarter. When this happens, we often see a tradable short squeeze develop as the bears rush to cover their positions to avoid big losses. Even the best short-sellers know that it's never a great idea to stay short once a bullish earnings report sparks a big short-covering rally.




This is why I scan the market for heavily shorted stocks that are about to report earnings. You only need to find a few of these stocks in a year to help enhance your portfolio returns -- the gains become so outsized in such a short time frame that your profits add up quickly.

That said, let's not forget that stocks are heavily shorted for a reason, so you have to use trading discipline and sound money management when playing earnings short-squeeze candidates. It's important that you don't go betting the farm on these plays and that you manage your risk accordingly. Sometimes the best play is to wait for the stock to break out following the report before you jump in to profit off a short squeeze. This way, you're letting the trend emerge after the market has digested all of the news.

>>5 Stocks Ready for Breakouts

Of course, sometimes the stock is going to be in such high demand that you risk missing a lot of the move by waiting. That's why it can be worth betting prior to the report -- but only if the stock is acting technically very bullish and you have a very strong conviction that it is going to rip higher. Just remember that even when you have that conviction and have done your due diligence, the stock can still get hammered if Wall Street doesn't like the numbers or guidance.

If you do decide to bet ahead of a quarter, then you might want to use options to limit your capital exposure. Heavily shorted stocks are usually the names that make the biggest post-earnings moves and have the most volatility. I personally prefer to wait until all the earnings-related news is out for a heavily shorted stock and then jump in and trade the prevailing trend.

With that in mind, here's a look at several stocks that could experience big short squeezes when they report earnings this week.

>>5 Rocket Stocks to Buy for August Gains

Tesla Motors

My first earnings short-squeeze trade idea is electric vehicle player Tesla Motors (TSLA), which is set to release numbers on Thursday after the market close. Wall Street analysts, on average, expect Tesla Motors to report revenue of $810.61 million on earnings of 4 cents per share.

The current short interest as a percentage of the float for Tesla Motors is extremely high at 26%. That means that out of the 90.33 million shares in the tradable float, 24.14 million shares are sold short by the bears. If the bulls get the earnings news they're looking for, then shares of Tesla Motors could easily explode sharply higher post-earnings as the bears rush to cover some of their trades.

From a technical perspective, TSLA is currently trending above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which is bullish. This stock recently formed a double bottom chart pattern at $214.27 to $213.60 a share. Following that bottom, shares of TSLA have started to trend higher right above its 50-day moving average to its recent high of $232 a share. That move has now pushed shares of TSLA within range of triggering a big breakout trade post-earnings.

If you're bullish on TSLA, then I would wait until after its report and look for long-biased trades if this stock manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $232 to $244.50 a share with high volume. Look for volume on that move that registers near or above its three-month average volume of 5.71 million shares. If that breakout hits post-earnings, then TSLA will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $260 to its all-time high at $265 a share.

I would simply avoid TSLA or look for short-biased trades if after earnings it fails to trigger that breakout and then drops back below its 50-day moving average of $218.31 a share with high volume. If we get that move, then TSLA will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major support levels at $213.60 to around $200 a share, or even its 200-day moving average of $191.36 a share.

>>3 Stocks Spiking on Big Volume

KEYW Holding

Another potential earnings short-squeeze play is cybersecurity, cyber superiority and geospatial intelligence solutions player KEYW Holding (KEYW), which is set to release its numbers on Thursday after the market close. Wall Street analysts, on average, expect KEYW Holding to report revenue $72.90 million on a loss of 3 cents per share.

The current short interest as a percentage of the float for KEYW Holding is extremely high at 33.4%. That means that out of the 34.27 million shares in the tradable float, 11.47 million shares are sold short by the bears. This is a huge short interest on a stock with a relatively low tradable float. If the bulls get the earnings news they're expecting, then shares of KEYW could easily soar sharply higher post-earnings as the bears jump to cover some of their trades.

From a technical perspective, KEYW is currently trending above its 50-day moving average and just below its 200-day moving average, which is neutral trendwise. This stock has been uptrending strong for the last two months, with shares moving higher from its low of $9.71 to its intraday high of $14.37 a share. During that move, shares of KEYW have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. That move has now pushed shares of KEYW within range of triggering a big breakout trade post-earnings.

If you're in the bull camp on KEYW, then I would wait until after its report and look for long-biased trades if this stock manages to break out above some past overhead resistance at $15.20 a share with high volume. Look for volume on that move that hits near or above its three-month average volume of 509,624 shares. If that breakout kicks off post-earnings, then KEYW will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $16 to $18, or even $19.71 to $20 a share.

I would simply avoid KEYW or look for short-biased trades if after earnings it fails to trigger that breakout and then drops back below some key near-term support levels at $13.21 to $13 a share with high volume. If we get that move, then KEYW will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major support levels at its 50-day moving average of $11.98 to $11.93, or even $11.40 to $11 a share.

>>3 Big M&A Stocks on Traders' Radars

SodaStream International

Another potential earnings short-squeeze candidate is beverage carbonation systems and related products player SodaStream International (SODA), which is set to release numbers on Wednesday before the market open. Wall Street analysts, on average, expect SodaStream International to report revenue of $140.56 million on earnings of 31 cents per share.

The current short interest as a percentage of the float for SodaStream International is extremely high at 31%. That means that out of the 20.75 million shares in the tradable float, 6.46 million shares are sold short by the bears. The bears have also been increasing their bets from the last reporting period by 4.6%, or by about 281,886 shares. If the bears get caught pressing their bets into a bullish quarter, then shares of SODA could easily explode sharply higher post-earnings as the shorts rush to cover some of their positions.

From a technical perspective, SODA is currently trending below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which is bearish. This stock recently exploded to the upside from around $29 to $36.53 with heavy upside volume flows. Following that one-day spike, shares of SODA have sold off sharply to its current price of around $30 a share with lighter downside volume flows.

If you're bullish on SODA, then I would wait until after its report and look for long-biased trades if this stock manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $31.50 to $32.50 a share with high volume. Look for volume on that move that hits near or above its three-month average action of 1.10 million shares. If that breakout begins post-earnings, then SODA will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $36.53 to $39.70, or even $42 a share.

I would avoid SODA or look for short-biased trades if after earnings it fails to trigger that breakout and then takes out its 52-week low of $28.65 a share with high volume. If we get that move, then SODA will set up to enter new 52-week-low territory, which is bearish technical price action. Some possible downside targets off that move are $25 to $20 a share.

>>5 Toxic Stocks You Should Sell This Summer

World Wrestling Entertainment

Another earnings short-squeeze prospect is integrated media and entertainment player World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE), which is set to release numbers on Thursday before the market open. Wall Street analysts, on average, expect World Wrestling Entertainment to report revenue of $156.98 million on a loss of 20 cents per share.

The current short interest as a percentage of the float for World Wrestling Entertainment is extremely high at 22%. That means that out of the 32.12 million shares in the tradable float, 7.07 million shares are sold short by the bears. The bears have also been increasing their bets from the last reporting period by 2.7%, or by about 182,000 shares. If the bears get caught pressing their bets into a strong quarter, then shares of WWE could easily rip sharply higher post-earnings as the shorts move to cover some of their trades.

From a technical perspective, WWE is currently trending above its 50-day moving average and well below its 200-day moving average, which is neutral trendwise. This stock has been uptrending over the last two months and change, with shares moving higher from its low of $10.44 to its recent high of $13.08 a share. During that uptrend, shares of WWE have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. That move has now pushed shares of WWE within range of triggering a major breakout trade post-earnings.

If you're bullish on WWE, then I would wait until after its report and look for long-biased trades if this stock manages to break out above some key near-term overhead resistance at $13.08 a share with high volume. Look for volume on that move that hits near or above its three-month average action of 2.25 million shares. If that breakout kicks off post-earnings, then WWE will set up to re-fill some of its massive gap-down-day zone from May that started at $20.43 a share.

I would simply avoid WWE or look for short-biased trades if after earnings it fails to trigger that breakout and then takes out some key near-term support levels at $12.09 to its 50-day moving average of $11.64 a share with high volume. If we get that move, then WWE will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major support levels $10.77 to $10.44 a share. Any high-volume move below those levels will then give WWE a chance to re-test or take out its 52-week low of $9.62 a share.

>>5 Stocks Under $10 Set to Soar

3D Systems

My final earnings short-squeeze play is 3D printing centric design-to-manufacturing solutions player 3D Systems (DDD), which is set to release numbers on Thursday before the market open. Wall Street analysts, on average, expect 3D Systems to report revenue of $162.28 million on earnings of 18 cents per share.

The current short interest as a percentage of the float for 3D Systems is extremely high at 34.5%. That means that out of the 98.72 million shares in the tradable float, 34.05 million shares are sold short by the bears. The bears have also been increasing their bets from the last reporting period by 5.3%, or by about 1.71 million shares. If the bears get caught pressing their bets into a bullish quarter, then shares of DDD could easily explode sharply higher post-earnings as the shorts rush to cover some of their positions.

From a technical perspective, DDD is currently trending above its 50-day moving average and well below its 200-day moving average, which is neutral trendwise. This stock has been downtrending badly for the last month, with shares moving lower from its high of $69.56 to its recent low of $51.60 a share. During that downtrend, shares of DDD have been making mostly lower highs and lower lows, which is bearish technical price action. That said, shares of DDD have now started to bounce higher off that $51.60 low and it's starting to flirt with its 50-day moving average of $54.28 a share.

If you're in the bull camp on DDD, then I would wait until after its report and look for long-biased trades if this stock manages to break out above some key near-term overhead resistance levels at $57.50 to $58.64 a share with high volume. Look for volume on that move that registers near or above its three-month average action of 4.34 million shares. If that breakout gets started post-earnings, then DD will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at its 200-day moving average of 64.90 to $69.56 a share.

I would avoid DDD or look for short-biased trades if after earnings it fails to trigger that breakout, and then drops back below some key near-term support levels at $51.60 to $50 a share with high volume. If we get that move, then DDD will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major support levels at $48.10 to $47.08, or even $45.42 to its 52-week low at $43.35 a share.

To see more potential earnings short squeeze plays, check out the Earnings Short-Squeeze Plays portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


RELATED LINKS:



>>4 Hot Stocks to Trade (or Not)



>>5 Large-Cap Stocks to Trade for Earnings Season Gains



>>Hedge Funds Hate These 5 Stocks -- Should You?

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com.

You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


Friday, December 19, 2014

Reporter behind story of $72 million teen trader stays at NY Mag

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) The writer behind the story about the "$72 million teenage stock whiz" is staying put at New York Magazine.

Jessica Pressler was slated to join the Bloomberg News investigative unit, but got caught up in controversy this past week following a story she wrote about a New York City high school student who said he'd made $72 million trading stocks. (Spoiler alert: He hadn't.)

New York Magazine's editor-in-chief Adam Moss told his staff Friday in an announcement that reporter Jessica Pressler would be staying at the magazine.

"Can't say that we expected things to turn out this way, but we feel very lucky to be keeping [Pressler] on, and look forward to publishing more of her with pride," Moss wrote in the memo, which was first published by Capital New York. New York Magazine confirmed the authenticity of the memo to CNNMoney.

Pressler's profile of Stuyvesant High School senior Mohammed Islam stirred up controversy and plenty of doubters from the start.

A front page piece about the story by the New York Post and a flurry of Facebook (FB, Tech30) shares later, the improbable tale unraveled quickly. Islam told the New York Observer on Monday that he never actually made any money at all. As the criticism mounted, Pressler defended her reporting.

"I still think the piece is skeptical enough," Pressler told CNNMoney Monday. "The story says, 'This is a rumor and draw your own conclusions.'"

People began to wonder whether Pressler would move to her new job as early as Tuesday, when blogger Jim Romenesko published an email he sent to Bloomberg questioning the company's plans to hire her. A Bloomberg spokesperson declined to comment to Romenesko at the time, and Bloomberg again declined to comment Friday to CNNMoney.

Pressler seems to be taking it all in stride, tweeting Friday, "Good news is I'm staying @NYMag. Bad news is I lost a shoe at holiday party; not the worst thing this week but annoying so if you see it lmk."

Thursday, December 18, 2014

5 Dividend Stocks That Want to Pay You More in 2014

BALTIMORE (Stockpickr) -- The stock market has done an about-face in the last couple of months, shifting from a sideways slump to a rally that's currently on track for double-digit gains by the end of the year. Since the start of January, the S&P 500, for instance, has rallied 5.89%. If the big index can keep it up, that's good for a 12.52% gain by the end of December.

>>Must-See Charts: 5 Large-Cap Stocks to Trade for Gains

But capital gains are only part of the equation. If you're ignoring dividend payouts, you're doing yourself a huge disservice. In the last year, dividend payouts in among S&P 500 stocks have risen by 15.6%. That means that companies in the big index currently pay out more cash on a nominal basis than ever before.

Factoring in dividends to this year's return numbers, the S&P's gains sit at 6.96% so far, a 20% boost vs. the plain price gains alone. So, yes, dividends clearly matter for your total returns this year. But to find the biggest gains, it's not enough to simply buy names with big payouts today. You have to think about what they'll be paying tomorrow too.

So instead of chasing yield, we'll try to step in front of the next round of stock payout hikes.

>>5 Stocks With Big Insider Buying

For our purposes, that "crystal ball" is composed of a few factors: namely a solid balance sheet, low payout ratio and a history of dividend hikes. While those items don't guarantee dividend announcements in the next month or three, they do dramatically increase the odds that management will hike their cash payouts to shareholders.

Without further ado, here's a look at five stocks that could be about to increase their dividend payments in the next quarter.

Microsoft

The term "dividend stock" doesn't typically come to mind when most people think about software giant Microsoft (MSFT), but with a 2.7% dividend yield today, the Windows developer is in the top tier of large-cap dividend payers. And Microsoft's dividend check looks likely to increase in 2014. Right now, the firm pays out a 28-cent quarterly dividend, but after four straight quarters of flat payouts, Microsoft looks likely to deploy more cash for dividends this fall.

>>3 Stocks Spiking on Big Volume

Microsoft doesn't need much of an introduction. The firm is one of the largest software makers in the world, thanks to the dominance of its Windows operating system and Office suite of productivity applications. It's also a major consumer electronics name today, thanks to the acquisition of Nokia's (NOK) handset business, an active tablet unit and a thriving gaming console franchise in the Xbox. But while the consumer devices may get a disproportionate share of ad spending, make no mistake -- Windows, Office and enterprise solutions are Microsoft's real cash cows.

From a financial standpoint, Microsoft is in stellar shape. The firm currently carries $80 billion in net cash and investments, enough to cover approximately 23% of the firm's current market capitalization. Ex-cash, Microsoft's P/E ratio drops to a thrifty 11.9. This tech titan isn't dirt cheap, but it's pretty close.

Wal-Mart

Retail giant Wal-Mart (WMT) has been a pretty poor performer in 2014. Since the calendar flipped to January, shares of Wal-Mart are down close to 5%, dragged lower by the occasional fundamental misstep. But that stalled share price doesn't reflect the progress WMT has made at its growth strategy this year. As Wal-Mart moves forward with its multi-format store plan, the firm should be able to capture enough sales growth to move the needle; for a firm with Wal-Mart's scale, that's a big deal.

>>4 Big Stocks on Traders' Radars

Wal-Mart is the undisputed king of retail. The firm boasts approximately 11,000 stores worldwide, primarily its namesake supercenters and Sam's Club wholesale clubs. Not only does the firm tip the scales with $476 billion in annual sales, it also manages to move those mountains of merchandise at net profit margins that consistently approach 3.5%. That's a big profit margin for a retail business, and combined with WMT's scale, it means that this firm throws off substantial cash for internal growth and investor consumption.

For years, the international segment has been Wal-Mart's weak spot. Despite the fact that Wal-Mart isn't exactly a newcomer to most of the markets that it operates in, overseas performance numbers still fall much lower than the returns WMT earns on its U.S. stores. Right now, Wal-Mart's 48-cent quarterly dividend payout adds up to a 2.6% yield.

Philip Morris International

Philip Morris International (PM) is your prototypical "sin stock." The tobacco giant operates in a recession-resistant business with sticky customers and deep net profit margins (above 28% last year). It's also a major income play, thanks to a 4.35% dividend payout at currently price levels. As I write, PM pays out a 94-cent quarterly dividend check to investors, but after four straight quarters of a flat rate, I'd expect this name to break the $1 barrier on its payout in 2014.

>>Love the Stocks Everyone Hates: 5 Short-Squeeze Stocks Ready to Pop

Philip Morris International is the second-largest tobacco firm in the world, with approximately 28% of the ex-U.S. global market. The firm's brands include flagship Marlboro as well as second-tier names such as L&M, Parliament and Chesterfield. Philip Morris International stepped out on its own after a 2008 spin-off from Altria (MO) separated the firm's domestic and international tobacco businesses. There's no question that PM is the more attractive of the two businesses, thanks to attractive emerging market demographics and lower regulations than found here at home.

Looking at the financials, one of the biggest challenges for this stock in recent years has been the fact that, since sales are made in foreign currencies and then converted into dollars, PM's overseas earnings take a conversion hit when the dollar is strong. But even those headwinds haven't been enough to derail PM's growth trajectory. And with PM's dividend averaging 13% growth over the last three years, investors should get ready for another hike.

Duke Energy

Nothing goes together quite like dividends and utility stocks. So while I'm the first to admit that adding Duke Energy (DUK) to our list of potential dividend hikers is a bit of a layup, it doesn't change the fact that income investors should be paying attention to this name. Duke Energy is the largest utility in the U.S. -- the firm owns regulated businesses that deliver electricity and gas to approximately 7.1 million customers in the Carolinas, Indiana, Ohio, Kentucky and Florida.

>>Buy These 5 Rocket Stocks to Beat the Market

And right now, the firm's 78-cent dividend payout adds up to a 4.3% yield.

Like a handful of its peers, Duke has been selling off some of its non-regulated assets (like 7.5 gigawatts of generation capacity at its Midwestern power plants), forgoing exposure to energy commodities in favor of the steady, predictable regulated earnings. Duke's exposure to states with accommodative regulators is a big part of why it's been so eager to shed those assets. As of this writing, around 90% of Duke Energy's earnings come from regulated distribution.

Duke's dividend payouts have remained consistent, and should continue to grow, especially as DUK finds cost savings from its $29 billion acquisition of Progress Energy two years ago. The firm announces earnings on Aug. 4, which could be a dividend boost date.

Hershey

As the largest candy maker in the U.S., Hershey (HSY) commands a whopping 43% share of the domestic chocolate business. That positioning translates into some pretty sweet profits for the $21 billion food maker: Last year, HSY 11 cents out of every sales dollar into net income, $3.61 per share in total. Of that, it's paid out $1.94 per share directly to shareholders in the form of dividends over the last 12 months, adding up to a 2% yield today.

But Hershey looks primed to boost that payout amount in 2014.

Hershey's brands include names like Reese's, Kit Kat and Twizzlers in addition to its popular namesake products. In total, the firm boasts more than 80 brands sold in 70 countries. But that vast majority of sales are still generated here at home; only 15% of revenue is generated overseas. If Hershey can boost its exposure to foreign candy sales, it has the potential to log some material growth in the years ahead.

In the past several years, dividends have failed to keep pace with a double-digit sales and profit growth rate. That leaves some cushion for HSY to hike its payout without getting overextended. For now, HSY pays just under half of its quarterly net income in the form of dividends.

To see these dividend plays in action, check out the at Dividend Stocks for the Week portfolio on Stockpickr. 



-- Written by Jonas Elmerraji in Baltimore.


RELATED LINKS:



>>5 Stocks Under $10 Setting Up to Soar



>>3 Huge Stocks to Trade (or Not)



>>5 Stocks Set to Soar on Bullish Earnings

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Jonas Elmerraji, CMT, is a senior market analyst at Agora Financial in Baltimore and a contributor to

TheStreet. Before that, he managed a portfolio of stocks for an investment advisory returned 15% in 2008. He has been featured in Forbes , Investor's Business Daily, and on CNBC.com. Jonas holds a degree in financial economics from UMBC and the Chartered Market Technician designation.

Follow Jonas on Twitter @JonasElmerraji


Thursday, November 13, 2014

MasterCard Extends Zero-Liability Policy to ATM Transactions

MasterCard Extends Zero-Liability Policy to ATM Transactions Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg via Getty Images MasterCard (MA), the world's second-largest debit and credit card company, said it was extending its zero-liability policy for cardholders in the United States to include all PIN-based and ATM transactions. The move follows several data breaches at U.S. companies including one at Target (TGT) late last year involving the theft of about 40 million credit and debit card records. "The move by MasterCard just enhances the sense of security for people at a time when it has been shaken up significantly in recent times," said Gil Luria, an analyst with Wedbush Securities. Zero-liability protection currently covers card transactions that require a customer's signature but doesn't apply if an account holder's personal identification number, or PIN, was used for unauthorized transactions. The new policy will take effect in October. Zero-liability protection means the account holder won't be held responsible for unauthorized transactions. Larger rival Visa's (V) zero-liability policy doesn't apply to PIN-based and ATM transactions, according to information available on the company's website. "The changes that we're making in cardholder protection combined with our efforts to move the U.S. payments industry to EMV chip technology will help deliver safer shopping experiences to consumers," said Chris McWilton, president of North American markets for MasterCard. The two companies have urged banks and retailers to meet an October 2015 deadline for the adoption of "EMV" chip technology that would make it safer to pay with plastic. "This all comes back to the adoption of EMV. Of all the cards that are breached at ATMs, a majority of them are non-EMV cards. This is just another way for the company to impress upon the importance of quickly adopting EMV cards," said Philip Philliou, managing partner of Philliou Partners, a firm that helps banks and retailers select payment processors. U.S. cards issued by MasterCard will also carry identity theft resolution assistance, which helps cancel missing cards, alert credit reporting agencies and conduct searches to detect if stolen confidential data appears online, MasterCard said Wednesday. The financial impact from the extension of the coverage is expected to be minimal for MasterCard, according to Luria. MasterCard shares were down less than 1% to $76.98 in afternoon trading Wednesday on the New York Stock Exchange. Last week, eBay (EBAY) became the latest victim of a cyberattack that compromised customer data and the company asked 145 million users of its online commerce platform to change their passwords.

Friday, November 7, 2014

Unscrupulous Debt Collectors Are Seniors' Top Financial Peeve

Senior woman looking worried Image Source/Getty Images When it comes to financial shenanigans, the top targets of senior citizens' complaints in this country are debt collectors, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau reported Wednesday. Seniors commonly report being hounded and threatened by debt collectors -- and about half of those reported incidents involved debts they didn't incur. From July 2013 through September of this year, the agency received 25,000 complaints from older consumers, and more than a third were about debt collection. "It is increasingly common for older Americans to carry debts into their retirement years, and consumers living on fixed incomes often struggle to pay off these debts," CFPB Director Richard Cordray said. "Older Americans deserve to be treated with the respect they have earned." Debt collection is a huge industry in the U.S. Nearly 5,000 companies collect debts, and about 30 million consumers have debt that is subject to collection, the CFPB said. Making Them Pay Federal law prescribes what debt collectors can -- and cannot -- do. Collectors can only call during certain hours, and they can't just say whatever they feel like to coerce you into paying. Harassing consumers, chasing after family members of those in debt (or family members of deceased debtors) and threatening arrest or garnishment of federal benefits all cross the line. The Federal Trade Commission offers a guide to the Fair Debt Collection Practices Act. If a debt collector violates the terms of the Act, you can sue them and collect up to $1,000. In addition, class-action lawsuits are regularly filed against collectors who are accused of violating the law. Such lawsuits can result in up to $500,000 in penalties. While such lawsuits -- even when won by the plaintiffs -- won't result in the erasing of people's debts, they can help ease some of the burden, and hold unscrupulous collectors responsible for their actions. If you're dealing with a debt collector whom you believe has crossed the line, you can report them to your state Attorney General's office, the Federal Trade Commission, and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. More from Mitch Lipka
•Order a Free Pizza From 'Pizza Hut' and Get Malware Instead •Newest Target for Data Thieves: Your Hilton HHonors Points •Mom Wants Kardashian Kids Line Banished From Babies R Us

Thursday, November 6, 2014

When Our Son Left the Nest, We Knew We Needed a New Will

Man on beach with parents in background OJO Images Ltd/Alamy I didn't have much of a motivational problem when it came to creating my first will, shortly after my son was born. But now, more than 22 years later, he's a college graduate with full-time job in his field of study, and can support himself. (Yay!) But despite the change in our circumstances, we were dragging our feet on updating our estate plan to fit them. "I think people just have trouble accepting their own mortality," said Ken Cutler, the Princeton, New Jersey, attorney helping to update my will. And the only purpose of a will is to deal with issues involving your death. Flashback to 22 Years Ago Let's start with the will my wife and I prepared after the birth of our son. We were both working and had retirement plans, some savings and life insurance -- but we were far from wealthy. Obviously, if I passed away, everything would go to my wife: all of the assets, all of the responsibilities. But the hard decisions were about control: Who would be the guardian to raise our little boy in the event that we both passed away (which is not quite as unlikely as it sounds, because of car accidents and the like), and who would handle the money we had left for him. "A lot of times people go in to do a will thinking it's about, "Who will get my property?" But it's a lot more complicated than that," said Cutler. "You don't come in thinking about having to decide between a sister or a brother-in-law, or who's going be the guardian." After weighing our choices, we decided that my wife's younger brother was the best fit. He had two young boys of his own. Our Situation Is Different Today Back to today. We first met with Cutler about two years ago, when our son was about to turn 21. He told us what was involved in crafting a new plan: selecting trustees and executors, dealing with estate taxes and maybe setting up a trust account. We waffled, interviewed other attorneys, and put the task back on the to-do list, where it sat. College graduation motivated us to try again. My wife and I drew up power of attorney documents and health care directives that appoint each other to handle those responsibilities. Our son is the back-up. Cutler laid out the new issues we'd have to consider, such as the possibility that we'll have a daughter-in-law one day, and maybe even grandchildren. These future family members ought to be accounted for well before we even know who they are. "You want to plan for and avoid a situation in a young marriage, and prevent the in-law from receiving your money" if the marriage dissolves. And even though we are fortunate to have a son who is sensible and wise beyond his years, we wouldn't want him to suddenly find himself in possession of an inheritance in a form that could easily be blown. So, at Cutler's suggestion, we have established terms in our wills for a trustee who would give him access to the money at three stages over the next few decades, if we're not here to spend it ourselves.

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Most Investors Will Miss This Powerful Buy Signal on Amazon's Chart

Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) may have disappointed shareholders Friday with another earnings miss, but all I see is opportunity.

At this very moment, there is a screaming post-earnings buy signal on the charts that has worked out 100% of the time over the past two years. This signal is not something most investors would spot, but I use it frequently -- and with great success.

It doesn't hurt that I'm intimate with Amazon's chart patterns, statistics and earnings trends. Our last technical trade in AMZN (although not an earnings-related trade) netted us 51% in less than two months. This time, I see an opportunity for 65% gains before year end.

[Related -Google: Still Opportunities Ahead]

AMZN sold off to the tune off 8% Friday following its third-quarter earnings release after the close on Thursday. If investors were truly running for the hills, though, we would have seen a much more violent move and the rally from the pre-market prices would have been absent. ?CEO Jeff Bezos has been very clear with investors and the media that he is focused on the bigger picture rather than quarterly results. Back in 1997, he informed them that he would be spending money to expand Amazon's empire, and from time to time, the company would incur losses as it grew.

While Amazon may be missing on the bottom line, its customer base and revenues are growing. Like Bezos, I see the bigger bullish picture for AMZN. But what's more important today is the chart action.

[Related -The Sixty Percent Alibaba Play No One Is Talking About]

Trading Amazon's Earnings Reversal

Trading earnings is one of my specialties. As an options trader, I focused heavily on the action leading up to an earnings announcement. I gauged bullish or bearish sentiment and estimated how big of a move a stock would make once the report was out.

Most of the time, I would enter a trade ahead of the report and exit almost immediately after earnings were released.

As the years of successful pre-earnings trades went by, I began to notice a large number of stocks that performed what I call an "earnings reversal."

When a stock is trending (either bullish or bearish), its earnings report can accelerate it in the direction of the trend. An earnings reversal occurs when shares move outside of their Bollinger Bands, creating an overbought or oversold condition from which the stock then reverses.

Essentially, the reaction to earnings pushes the stock too far in one direction, and if the conditions are right, a short-term reversal occurs and thrusts the stock in the opposite direction, often in a big way.

In the case of Amazon, this powerful signal was triggered after seven of the past eight earnings reports. In each instance, if a trader went long or short (depending on the nature of the signal) at the close the day following the announcement, they would have made an average of 11.4% before the next report was issued.

The most dramatic earnings reversal came in April 2013. AMZN was in a bearish trend when it gapped lower following its report. Traders who entered a bullish position at the close on April 26, 2013, made 21% in just three months.

The signal I'm seeing right now looks just as strong as the one I spotted then.

AMZN closed Friday at $287.06. Simply moving back to its pre-earnings close of $313.18 would only require a 9% gain, less than the 11% average move the stock has made after every signal in the past two years.

With a call option strategy, we can leverage that 9% gain into 65% profits in two months.

AMZN Call Option Trade

Today, I am interested in buying AMZN Dec 270 Calls for a limit price of $26.

Risk graph courtesy of tradeMONSTER

This call option has a delta of 72, which means it will move roughly $0.72 for every dollar that AMZN moves, but it costs a fraction of the price of the stock.

The trade breaks even at $296 ($270 strike price plus $26 options premium), which is 3% above current prices.

If AMZN hits my upside target of $313, then the call options will be worth at least $43. Once you enter the trade, place a good 'til cancelled (GTC) order to sell your calls at that price.

Recommended Trade Setup:

-- Buy AMZN Dec 270 Calls at $26 or less (use limit orders)

-- Set stop-loss at $13

-- Set price target at $43 for a potential 65% gain in two months

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Mario Gabelli's Q3 Value Fund Portfolio Commentary

To Our Shareholders,

For the quarter ended September 30, 2014, the net asset value ("NAV") per Class A Share of The Gabelli Value 25 Fund Inc. decreased 4.7% compared with increases of 1.1% and 1.9% for the Standard & Poor's ("S&P") 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, respectively. See page 2 for additional performance information.

Market Commentary

The third quarter saw a return of volatility to financial markets, starting with a decline in July, as macroeconomic factors, including conflict in Ukraine and Israel, a slowdown in emerging market growth, and Argentinian debt default on the last day of the month all weighed on the market. Markets rebounded sharply in August, as mostly positive second quarter earnings reports were coupled with dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen, who at the annual Federal Reserve meeting in Jackson Hole, reiterated, "that it likely will be appropriate to maintain the current target range for the federal funds rate for a considerable time after our current asset purchase program ends." In other words, rates are likely to remain low for some time. With the backdrop of a slowly improving economy and continued accommodative Fed policy, the S&P 500 hit an all-time high on September 19.

Towards the end of the month, however, markets began factoring in the possibility of a recession in Europe, a worse than expected emerging markets slowdown, the negative impact of foreign currencies on overseas earnings (especially in the Eurozone), concerns about the impact of communicable diseases on travel and leisure industries, and continued conflict around the globe, whether in Ukraine, Iraq, Syria, or elsewhere. In volatile times, we believe it is important to reiterate that, as value investors, we seek for "Mr. Market" to serve us, rather than inform us about the value of a company. We continue to use stock-specific and market dislocations (as has been with small capitalization stocks this year) in order to buy even more of the companies we own on your behalf. These are high-quality, cash generating franchise businesses, operating in industries in which we have a core competency, which have potential catalysts to surface value: a takeover of the company, financial engineering, new management, regulatory changes, a change in cash flow allocation, or some other dynamic. We note that continued low rates mean that companies will continue to have access to low-cost financing, with which they can pursue mergers & acquisitions (M&A). This underscores our confidence that the "Fifth Wave" of takeover activity is likely to continue.

Deals, Deals, and More Deals

Dealmaking continued in the third quarter, with worldwide M&A up 59% to $2.7 trillion for the first nine months of 2014, although year over year deal value declined in the third quarter. Fund holding Alere (0.3% of net assets as of September 30, 2014), a leading diagnostics company, received an inquiry from its former CEO, Ron Zwanziger, about taking the company private in September. While the company has so far rebuffed Mr. Zwanziger's advances, we believe that a transaction is still very possible and note that the company has launched a "strategic review" of its operations. Additionally, Tyson Foods completed its acquisition of Fund holding Hillshire Brands, a leading branded meat company, in August.

In addition to M&A activity, financial engineering continued in the third quarter. Fund holding eBay (1.3%) announced plans to spin off its PayPal secure payments business from its core online marketplace operations. We had long anticipated this move and think it could eventually result in the acquisition of one or both units.

Let's Talk Stocks

The following are stock specifics on selected holdings of the Fund. Favorable earnings prospects do not necessarily translate into higher stock prices, but they do express a positive trend that we believe will develop over time. Individual securities mentioned are not necessarily representative of the entire portfolio. For the following holdings, the percentage of net assets and their share prices are presented as of September 30, 2014. The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (1.5% of net assets as of September 30, 2014) (BK - $38.73 - NYSE) is a global leader in providing financial services to institutions and individuals. The company operates in more than one hundred markets worldwide and strives to be the global provider of choice for investment management and investment services. As of June 30, 2014, the firm had $28.5 trillion in assets under custody and $1.6 trillion in assets under management. Going forward, we expect BNY Mellon to benefit from rising global incomes and the cross border movement of financial transactions.

Cablevision Systems Corp. (1.8%) (CVC )($17.51 - NYSE) provides broadband, television, and phone service to over three million subscribers in the New York metropolitan area. An industry pioneer, CVC has developed the most advanced cable plant in the country and converted over 70% of its subscribers into triple play (video, phone, and broadband) customers. In the process, CVC achieved industry leading average monthly subscription revenues and margins. This peak performance led the company to become a victim of its own success; combined with competition from Verizon FiOS in approximately half its footprint, Cablevision saw reduced growth and a sagging share price in 2012/2013. The company's efforts to address these declines appear to be paying off. Management has also been active on the financial front, spinning off Madison Square Garden (2.4%) in February 2010 and AMC Networks (1.7%) in June 2011 and repurchasing over 10% of shares outstanding. Cablevision is now a single-market, pure-play cable operator, which could facilitate an eventual consolidation of the company in our view.

CBS Corp. (3.9%) (CBS)($53.62 - NYSE) operates the CBS television network and the premium cable network Showtime and it owns 29 local television stations and 130 radio stations. We believe CBS has a number of opportunities to generate incremental non-advertising revenue from the sale of existing content to online video distributors (OVDs) and the retransmission of content agreements with traditional distributors. In addition, we expect a continued recovery in advertising to contribute to earnings growth. Finally, we believe financial engineering, including the announced $3 billion share buyback, could act as a catalyst for shares.

Energizer Holdings Inc. (1.3%) (ENR)($123.21 - NYSE) became an independent company after it was spunoff from Ralston Purina in April 2000. Energizer manufactures, markets and sells dry cell batteries and lighting products worldwide. Subsequently, Energizer expanded its product portfolio through acquisitions, including Schick-Wilkinson Sword (2003), Playtex (2007), Edge/Skintimate (2009), American Safety Razor (2010), and most recently, J&J's feminine hygiene brands (2013). Today, Energizer reports results for two segments: Household ($2.0 billion of revenue), which includes the domestic and international battery businesses, and Personal Care ($2.4 billion), which includes wet shaving, skin, feminine and infant care. In April 2014, ENR announced its intention to split the company into two publicly traded firms through a tax-free spin-off of the Household division. The transaction is expected to be completed by July 2015. This may be the first step in realizing the full value of the two businesses, as both divisions may be more attractive acquisition candidates on a standalone basis.

Flowserve Corp. (1.1%) (FLS)($70.52 - NYSE) is one of the largest global pump companies, serving the petroleum, chemical, and power industries. The company's products include engineered and industrial pumps, automated and control valves, actuators, and seals. About 40% of FLS revenues are derived from the oil and gas industry, and should benefit from the refurbishment of the aging refineries in developed countries and the first time build out of the infrastructure in developing nations around the world. Further, oil companies are bringing up dirtier, heavier, and harder to access crude from thousands of feet below ground, as the cleaner, lighter, and easier to obtain crude that is closer to the surface is depleted. This demands more highly engineered pumps, valves, and seals that can work under very high pressure, high temperature, or underwater, boding well for FLS products.

Liberty Media Corp. (0.6%; 1.2%) (LMCA)($47.18 - NASDAQ; LMCK - $46.99 - NASDAQ) is a diversified investment vehicle guided by cable television pioneer John Malone (Chairman) and former Microsoft (0.4%) CFO Greg Maffei (CEO). The company owns over half of satellite radio provider Sirius XM, 27% of cable operator Charter Communications, the Atlanta Braves baseball club, and stakes in several other public and private entities. Malone and Maffei have created significant value for shareholders over the past several years as they taxefficiently distributed, traded, or sold interests in Discovery Communications (1.2%), News Corp. (0.5%), Time Warner Inc. (1.4%), DIRECTV (2.9%), Starz and QVC among others. Liberty announced it would spin-off its cable investments, including Charter, into a new company known as Liberty Broadband late in 2015. The remaining Liberty Media could then be merged into Sirius XM, a plan proposed and abandoned early in 2014.

Madison Square Garden Co. (2.4%) (MSG)($66.12 - NASDAQ) is an integrated sports and media company that owns the MSG networks (MSG/MSG+ and Fuse), the New York Knicks, the New York Rangers, the Radio City Christmas Spectacular, and the iconic New York venue, Madison Square Garden. These evergreen content assets benefit from sustainable barriers to entry and long term secular growth. We believe the now completed Transformation project and the rising value of sports programming, as demonstrated by the NBA's recently contract renewal with TWX & DIS, will dramatically increase MSG's earnings power through 2018.

Newmont Mining Corp. (1.6%) (NEM)($23.05 - NYSE) based in Denver, Colorado, is one of the largest gold mining companies in the world. Founded in 1921 and publicly traded since 1925, NEM is the only gold company included in the S&P 500 Index and Fortune 500. We expect the company to produce approximately 4.9 million ounces of gold and 110 million pounds of copper in 2014, with over 60% of this production coming from Australia and Nevada. Newmont is in the process of reviewing its business units and cutting operating costs post the 27% drop in the gold price in 2013. The company has sold non-core assets and has committed to deploy the proceeds from these sales into building new projects, which it expects will generate superior rates of return for shareholders.

Sony Corp. (1.1%) (SNE)($18.04 - NYSE) is a diversified electronics and entertainment company based in Tokyo, Japan. The company manufactures televisions, PlayStation game consoles, mobile phone handsets, cameras, and operates the Columbia film studio and Sony Music entertainment group. We expect the new PlayStation launch and operational improvements in consumer electronics and entertainment to generate EBITDA growth through 2015. We also think the spin-off of the entertainment assets will be a potential catalyst. Time Warner Inc. (1.4%) (TWX - $75.21 - NYSE), located in New York, New York, is a diversified media company with operations in cable networks through HBO, TNT, TBS & CNN, and film & television production. We like the company's cable networks, high margins and low capital intensity. We expect the company to use its free cash flow to return capital to shareholders through its $1.27 per share dividend and aggressive share repurchases. Following the $85 per share bid by Twenty-First Century Fox (2.2%), we expect Time Warner could be an acquisition target.

Investment Scorecard

Top contributors to performance included eBay (1.3% of net assets as of September 30, 2014) (+13%), which announced the long awaited spin-off of PayPal; Madison Square Garden (2.4%) (+6%), in which an activist investor has called for the initiation of a share repurchase program; Republic Services (2.1%) (+4%), which should benefit from a recovery in the US and lower fuel prices; Time Warner Inc. (1.4%) (+8%), the subject of a failed takeover bid from Twenty-First Century Fox (2.2%); and Macquarie Infrastructure (0.7%) (+8%), which reached an agreement to purchase its 50% partner in its liquids storage business.

Detractors from performance included Viacom (7.3%) (-13%) and CBS (3.9%) (-11%), which declined amid concerns about the television advertising market, ratings and pay-television subscriber growth; Rolls- Royce (2.0%) (-15%), which experienced weaker marine aftermarket performance in the first half; National Fuel Gas (2.2%) (-10%), which reflected lower natural gas prices; and Diageo (2.6%) (-8%), whose global footprint has exposed the company to the effects of currency moves.

Conclusion

As always, in volatile times, our process remains unchanged. We conduct bottom-up research on companies and industries in order to uncover undervalued businesses we would be happy to own for many years. Our Private Market Value (PMV) with a Catalyst™ stock selection process identifies potential acquisition targets and likely candidates for financial engineering. Should volatility return and "Mr. Market" provide us with an opportunity, we remain prepared to increase our ownership of businesses that fit these characteristics, as well as invest in new opportunities as they become available.

October 9, 2014

Note: The views expressed in this Shareholder Commentary reflect those of the Portfolio Managers only through the end of the period stated in this Shareholder Commentary. The Portfolio Managers' views are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. The information in this Portfolio Managers' Shareholder Commentary represents the opinions of the individual Portfolio Managers and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, a guarantee of future results, or investment advice. Views expressed are those of the Portfolio Managers and may differ from those of other portfolio managers or of the Firm as a whole. This Shareholder Commentary does not constitute an offer of any transaction in any securities. Any recommendation contained herein may not be suitable for all investors. Information contained in this Shareholder Commentary has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, but cannot be guaranteed.

Minimum Initial Investment – $1,000

The Fund's minimum initial investment for regular accounts is $1,000. There are no subsequent investment minimums. No initial minimum is required for those establishing an Automatic Investment Plan. Additionally, the Fund and other Gabelli/GAMCO Funds are available through the no-transaction fee programs at many major brokerage firms. The Fund imposes a 2% redemption fee on shares sold or exchanged within seven days after the date of p

Friday, October 24, 2014

New Home Sales At Six-Year Highs

Related XHB Existing Home Sales Rise, Beat Forecast Buckingham Initiates Coverage On Several Homebuilders

New Home Sales reached a six-year high, as reported by the Commerce Department, with sales increasing 0.2 percent to an annual rate of 467,000 units. However, August had a sharp downward revision of 466,000 from 504,000.

Price concessions may be behind the rise in sales, as the median price dropped nearly 10 percent to $259,000. The year-over-year rate of -4.0 percent is only the second negative reading in the last two years.

Initially, the S&P 500 sold off on the report, but it has since regained the levels it was at prior to the release.

Shares of the Homebuilder ETF (NYSE: XHB) were trading lower by 0.36 percent at 30.68.

Posted-In: News Econ #s Markets

© 2014 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

  Related Articles (XHB) Existing Home Sales Rise, Beat Forecast Buckingham Initiates Coverage On Several Homebuilders Builder Confidence Falls Slightly S&P 500, Homebuilders And Gold ETFs To Watch This Week Pending Home Sales Somewhat Weaker Higher Mortgage Rates Could Boost Homebuilder ETFs Around the Web, We're Loving...

'Captain America' Chopper Sells for $1.35 Million

Easy Rider Bike Auction Damian Dovarganes/APA "Captain America" Chopper from the 1969 film "Easy Rider." | A star-spangled chopper reportedly ridden by Peter Fonda in the classic film "Easy Rider" sold for $1.35 million, making it one of the most expensive motorcycles ever sold. Auction house Profiles in History sold the bike over the weekend for far above the reserve price of $1 million. The chopper, known as the "Captain America" chopper for the name of Fonda's character in the 1969 film, was owned by Los Angeles collector Michael Eisenberg. The price came despite media reports that cast doubt on the authenticity of the bike. The Los Angeles Times reported that an earlier "Captain America" chopper had been sold that also claimed to be the last remaining of its kind from the film. Fonda told the Times before the sale: "There's a big rat stinking someplace in this."

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Running A Succesful Company

In the first part of this series, we covered the first five rules that Walton left us that can help us run a successful company. Here are the remaining five rules:

Rule 6: Celebrate your successes. Find some humor in your failures. Don't take yourself so seriously. Loosen up, and everybody around you will loosen up. Have fun. Show enthusiasm — always. When all else fails, put on a costume and sing a silly song. Then make everybody else sing with you. Don't do a hula on Wall Street. It's been done. Think up your own stunt. All of this is more important, and more fun, than you think, and it really fools the competition. "Why should we take those cornballs at Wal-Mart seriously?"

Rule 7: Listen to everyone in your company. And figure out ways to get them talking. The folks on the front lines — the ones who actually talk to the customer — are the only ones who really know what's going on out there. You'd better find out what they know. This really is what total quality is all about. To push responsibility down in your organization, and to force good ideas to bubble up within it, you must listen to what your associates are trying to tell you.

Rule 8: Exceed your customers' expectations. If you do, they'll come back over and over. Give them what they want, and a little more. Let them know you appreciate them. Make good on all your mistakes, and don't make excuses. Apologize. Stand behind everything you do. The two most important words I ever wrote were on that first Wal-Mart sign: "Satisfaction Guaranteed". They're still up there, and they have made all the difference.

Rule 9: Control your expenses better than your competition. This is where you can always find the competitive advantage. For 25 years running — long before Wal-Mart was known as the nation's largest retailer — we ranked number one in our industry for the lowest ratio of expenses to sales. You can make a lot of different mistakes and still recover if you run an efficient operation. Or you can be brilliant and still go out of business if you're too inefficient.

Rule 10: Swim upstream. Go the other way. Ignore the conventional wisdom. If everybody else is doing it one way, there's a good chance you can find your niche by going in exactly the opposite direction. But be prepared for a lot of folks to wave you down and tell you you're headed the wrong way. I guess in all my years, what I heard more often than anything was: a town of less than 50,000 population cannot support a discount store for very long.

"Those are some pretty ordinary rules, some would even say simplistic. The hard part, the real challenge, is to constantly figure out ways to execute them. You can't just keep doing what works one time, because everything around you is always changing. To succeed, you have to stay out in front of that change."

Now the most important thing. Do you think that Wal-Mart still abides by the rules laid out by his founder? In what ways is the company still on the road, and in what ways has the company shifted away? Just as Mr. Walton mentioned, everything is changing around us, and, paraphrasing Charles Darwin, it is the most adaptable (Company) to change that will win the race.

About the author:Brian Flores"I constantly see people rise in life who are not the smartest, sometimes not even the most diligent, but they are learning machines. They go to bed every night a little wiser than they were when they got up and boy does that help, particularly when you have a long run ahead of you." - Charlie Munger

Visit Brian Flores's Website

Currently 5.00/51

Saturday, October 18, 2014

Week's Winners and Losers: Baristas and Cord Cutters Score

DRIVETHRU COFFEE Elaine Thompson/AP There were plenty of winners and losers this week, with the world's leading search engine failing to live up to expectations on decelerating ad growth and the leading premium java retailer coming through with a pay increase at a time when other establishments are being criticized for their wages. Here's a rundown of the week's best and worst. Google (GOOG) -- Loser Is an earnings miss really a surprise if it just keeps happening? Google posted a lower-than-expected profit in Thursday's quarterly report, but this is the fourth consecutive time that the search giant has failed to live up to Wall Street's bottom-line targets. That isn't a big deal. Google's investing in data centers and new businesses that don't carry the kind of immediate payoffs that it has in paid search. The only problematic aspect of the report is that paid clicks rose just 17 percent over the prior year. That may seem like a lot, but Google had posted gains of 26 percent and 25 percent during the year's first two quarters. Starbucks (SBUX) -- Winner It pays to be a barista. Starbucks announced on Thursday that its employees will receive a pay increase come January. "The company didn't disclose pay rates, which vary according to market; a Starbucks employee recently told The Seattle Times he started at $9.50 an hour. Job-reviews website Glassdoor indicates the average barista wage is $9.32 an hour." At a time when many fast-food chains and retailers are being taken to task for their low wages, Starbucks finds a way to shine. It's not the only change at Starbucks. It's relaxing many of its conduct and dress codes. It will allow employees to wear nose studs. They also won't have to cover up tattoos, as long as they are not on the face or neck. Baristas who used to be able to have a complimentary drink during a shift can now also have a food item. The changes are ultimately about attracting and retaining employees, lowering its turnover and training costs. Netflix (NFLX) -- Loser If you're known for providing conservative guidance, you'd better not fall short. Three months ago, Netflix was forecasting that it would close out the third quarter with 53.74 million streaming accounts worldwide. It wound up having just 53.06 million subscribers on its rolls. Netflix blamed the shortfall on consumer reaction to its May price increase, but it may be more than that. After all, Netflix also grandfathered in existing members to the original $7.99-a-month rate. If $8.99 was too high to woo new subscribers, wouldn't the grandfathering at least help retention efforts? Another loser here is BTIG Research, which had upgraded the stock the day before the earnings report. Cord Cutters -- Winners Folks kissing their hefty cable and satellite television bills goodbye are starting to get more options for video entertainment. Time Warner's (TWX) HBO and CBS (CBS) announced plans for stand-alone streaming services. CBS is charging $5.99 a month for its streaming platform that offers access to live and legacy CBS content. HBO didn't offer pricing details, but it's a big deal if folks will be able to watch shows like "Game of Thrones" and "True Detective" next year without needing either a pay-TV subscription or an uncle willing to share his HBO Go password. Tesla Motors (TSLA) -- Loser Tesla may have been a market darling a week ago after unveiling bar-raising features for its Model S sedan, but this week it was a different story. The electric car maker was held back after an analyst suggested that the Model X crossover SUV could be delayed until the second half of next year. It wouldn't be a surprise to see a new car run into some roadblocks before hitting the market, and it could also explain why Tesla held last week's event to update its Model S sedan's options, as a way to buy itself some time. Another piece of bad news for Tesla came out of Michigan, where plans for it to open a dealership were shot down by legislation that prohibits an automaker from selling directly to consumers. Tesla's been battling this old way of thinking in many states, and sometimes it falls short. More from Rick Aristotle Munarriz
•Apple's New iPad Air 2: Thinner, Faster, Irrelevant •Will a Refreshed 'Words With Friends' App Score for Zynga? •Netflix Discovers $8.99 a Month Might Be Too Much to Ask